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Gammons and Edes on the Red Sox' plans

Nov 20, 2009, 9:50 AM EDT

There aren’t many people who know the Red Sox front office better than Peter Gammons and Gordon Edes do, and this morning they provide their views as to what that front office is going to do this offseason. Their thinking:

  • They both think that Jason Bay will stay in Boston, mostly because the Mets don’t have the cash to beat a Boston offer and none of the other potential suitors — the Giants, Mariners, Angels or maybe the Cardinals — don’t really work for a number of reasons. I agree. Bay has a pretty comfortable job in Boston. Anywhere else he goes his defense will be a bigger issue than it is in Fenway. I think he stays.
  • Despite declining Alex Gonzalez’s option, he’ll stay around too, yielding to Jed Lowrie if Lowrie proves that he can stay healthy, and generally providing some insurance for a position that always seems to be unsure in Boston.  My view: not sure there are any better options out there. Omar Vizquel maybe? Either way, cover it with a glove and wait for Jose Iglesias to mature.
  • Forget the Adrian Gonzalez speculation. Jed Hoyer knows who the best Sox prospects are. The Sox don’t want to trade their best prospects. They just don’t match up. It’s way more likely that the Sox will convince the Blue Jays that their second tier prospects are really top shelf guys and pry away Roy Halladay.  My view: there’s too much risk with a Sox-Padres trade right now. Whoever loses the trade is going to be accused by talk radio and the local papers of giving a gift to their buddy, and no one likes that kind of garbage.
  • The Sox are going into 2010 banking on a rebound by David Ortiz, a healthy Mike Lowell, and having Victor Martinez around all season. My view: they are about 33% likely to realize an overall offensive improvement from that strategy.  Could be a tough year on offense for Boston.
  • They’re likely to once again explore the high-risk, high-reward scrap heap for some pitching depth, with Gammons and Edes both mentioning Ben Sheets and Rich Harden.  Actually, Edes calls this “low-risk, high reward.” That makes no sense to me. Maybe it’s “low money,” but anytime you commit a roster spot to a guy and exclude other possibilities, you create at least some risk.  If you use that roster spot on guys with injury histories like Sheets and Harden, you’re creating high risk.  One would think that the Smotlz-Penny experience of last season would have hipped Edes to this.

Right now the odds favor a stand-pat kind of offseason for Boston. Which, given the relative dearth of high-quality free agents and trade bait, is probably the most prudent move.  There’s no shame in playing for the Wild Card Red Sox fans.

  1. CommonNow - Nov 20, 2009 at 10:52 AM

    “The Sox are going into 2010 banking on a rebound by David Ortiz, a healthy Mike Lowell, and having Victor Martinez around all season. My view: they are about 33% likely to realize an overall offensive improvement from that strategy. Could be a tough year on offense for Boston. ”
    - finally someone sees it too! Theo is not going to spend to fix the offensive nor pitching issues. Why would he? The nation buys tickets and makes them wildly profitable. The Bosox are going to be a 2nd or 3rd tier team in 2010 – mark my words. Maybe they can bum-skid into the playoffs like they did this year – only to be embarrassed

  2. Cannot buy me love - Nov 20, 2009 at 11:18 AM

    Henry’s hedge fund have gone from the Billions to the millions.
    Yankee owner is on his last legs and cannot take the money with him.
    State of NY built him a new stadium! MA builds nothing!
    The Yankees will sign Bay Lackey Holliday and halliday and Derek Lowe in the bullpen.
    Yanks win by 30 games.
    Sox limited by 33,000 seats!

  3. Joey B - Nov 20, 2009 at 12:17 PM

    “The Sox are going into 2010 banking on a rebound by David Ortiz, a healthy Mike Lowell, and having Victor Martinez around all season. My view: they are about 33% likely to realize an overall offensive improvement from that strategy. Could be a tough year on offense for Boston.”
    As an alternative POV, consider this-
    The RS finished behind the NYY in scoring by 46 runs I believe. Had the RS had Gonzo instead of Green all year, and VMart as a starter all year and Tek off the bench for 60 games, they’d have been the best scoring team in BB, right?

  4. Bernie - Nov 20, 2009 at 12:52 PM

    Tough year for Sox offense? What about 2010 being a tough year for Sox defense with Martinez behind the plate. Sox need to go all out for Mauer. They have the Yankee problem of getting old in key spots.

  5. oldfarmerbrown - Nov 20, 2009 at 1:09 PM

    IF SHIT WAS SUGAR FARMERS WOULD NOT HAVE PLANTED CANE……….

  6. EVILEmpirE 2010 - Nov 20, 2009 at 1:13 PM

    ahhhhh YANKEES ARE CHAMPIONS OF BASEBALL….. AGAIN
    MAUER WILL BE FITTED FOR NAVY BLUE PINSTRIPES, WHY WOULD
    HE WANT TO PLAY FOR THE SAUX ,,,,,,,,, U R SO SILLY

  7. Church of the Perpetually Outraged - Nov 20, 2009 at 1:35 PM

    The RS finished behind the NYY in scoring by 46 runs I believe. Had the RS had Gonzo instead of Green all year, and VMart as a starter all year and Tek off the bench for 60 games, they’d have been the best scoring team in BB, right?

    If… if. Ven die bubbah halla
    tsehen qulishkes, het gehaya zadeh.
    +10 if you get the quote :)

  8. bernie - Nov 20, 2009 at 1:57 PM

    I’m a Yanks fan for the past 155 years (or so it seems). Yanks don’t need Mauer. They have a 20 year old STUD in AAA. Now Halladay or Lackey is another story.
    EVILEmpirE 2010 I bet you’re the kind of Yankee fan who boo’d Arod all the time.

  9. Cru11 - Nov 20, 2009 at 2:39 PM

    I think the Sox are willing to give up a little on defense with Vic behind the plate due to his nice bat. IMHO, anything is better than Tek behind the dish… he wouldnt even attempt to throw runners out.

  10. The Rabbit - Nov 20, 2009 at 4:41 PM

    Too funny. +20 for using that particular quote :-)

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