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Here's what the Cardinals shouldn't do

Dec 28, 2009, 7:08 PM EDT

burrell.jpgThe Cardinals are in a sort of hot stove limbo, waiting on Matt Holliday to accept or reject their rumored five-year, $80 million offer and at the same time working on a proverbial Plan B if he lands elsewhere.

What “Plan B” involves isn’t exactly clear.  We know the Cards have been keeping tabs on Mark DeRosa, but he’s just moments away from officially signing with the Giants.  The Cardinals have also been linked loosely to Xavier Nady this winter, but it’s quite possible no actual negotiations have taken place.  Pursuing Adrian Beltre would make some sense, and perhaps they’ll even take a look at Jason Bay.

We can dabble in our own set of hypotheticals all night, but what we do know is the Cardinals have a hole in left field and are seeking some offensive protection for Albert Pujols.

Rob Rains of the newly resuscitated St. Louis Globe-Democrat has an idea.  A hypothetical, if you will.  The problem?  It’s not a very good one.

Considering the lack of in-house candidates available,” writes Rains, “…there might be an increasing possibility that the Cardinals
will have to pursue a trade to acquire a left fielder, should the
Holliday stalemate finally reach the breaking point

If, or when, the Cardinals do reach that point, here is a name they
should consider: Pat Burrell

This is not FireJoeMorgan,
and I’m not Ken Tremendous, or dak, or Junior,
but it’s pretty easy to see where Rains’ Globe-Democrat piece goes wrong.  The Cardinals should pursue Pat Burrell?  I’ll agree to disagree.  Actually, I’ll just disagree.

Burrell, 33, finished the 2009 season with an ugly .221/.315/.367 batting line, only 14 home runs and 109 strikeouts in 412 at-bats.  He was unable to stay healthy despite manning designated hitting duties for the Rays and would do little to protect the great Pujols in St. Louis.  Yet, today we read this:

RAINS: “Burrell would fit right into the middle of the lineup as the protector
of Albert Pujols. 
Even though he hits righthanded, much of his power has
come against righthanded pitchers – 164 of his career home runs, as
opposed to only 71 career homers against lefthanders.

Burrell has more home runs against right-handers than he does against lefties.  That’s quite an observation.  Maybe that’s because he has faced 4,331 right-handed pitchers in his career as opposed to just 1,533 southpaws.  In fact, just about every major league hitter with legitimate service time has batted more often against right-handers.

Manny Ramirez, one of the most feared right-handed hitters of all time, has 406 career home runs against right-handed pitchers and just 140 against lefties.  Does that mean he’s a better hitter when facing right-handed competition?  Of course not.  And neither is Burrell.

Burrell vs. RHP:  .249/.348/.463
Burrell vs. LHP:  .269/.403/.513

Ramirez vs. RHP:  .305/.400/.579
Ramirez vs. LHP:  .337/.444/.624

RAINS: “Burrell also is a classic cleanup hitter, which is a status none of the
other potential left-field candidates can claim.

And what, exactly, defines a “classic cleanup hitter?”  Bengie Molina hit cleanup the last two years in San Francisco.  He also finished this season with a lousy .265/.285/.442 batting line and has only reached the 20-homer plateau once in his career.  Is he “classic?”  Mark Teixeira posted a .948 OPS and blasted 39 home runs this season for the Yankees but batted third during 605 of his 609 at-bats.  What’s his status?

RAINS: “Burrell also is not a terrible left fielder. He has played more than
1,100 career games in the majors in left field, averaging about seven
errors a season.

Sure, if you want to ignore all of the progress that has been made in the last 15 years with fielding metrics.  Burrell had a -7.1 UZR/150 (Ultimate Zone Rating per 150 games) as a left fielder for the Phillies in 2008.  His UZR/150 was -25.2 in 2007 and -13.5 in 2006.   So, yes, Mr. Rains, Burrell is a terrible outfielder.  And your hypothetical Plan B article probably wasn’t worth printing.

  1. stru - Dec 28, 2009 at 7:58 PM

    Pat burrell? was the guy who wrote the other article high?!hahahahhahahahahahah lmfao!

  2. stargatebabe - Dec 28, 2009 at 9:10 PM

    no, No, NO! Burrell??? Apparently Rob Rains is the Entertainment writer and has no clue about baseball! UGH!

  3. Pitchers Hit Eighth - Dec 28, 2009 at 10:17 PM

    I would rather the Cardinals re-sign Rick Ankiel, and start him, than run Pat Burrell out there every day. Or any day.

  4. themarksmith - Dec 29, 2009 at 12:12 AM

    Let’s also note that 7 errors in left field is not something to be proud of in any shape or form.

  5. willmose - Dec 29, 2009 at 8:10 AM

    There was a reason the Globe-Democrat when belly up. Writing like this was one of the reasons.

  6. ecp - Dec 29, 2009 at 10:13 AM

    That’s exactly what I was going to say: Seven errors per season for an outfielder is terrible fielding.

  7. Left Fielder - Dec 29, 2009 at 6:36 PM

    Matt Holliday’s first three years in LF: 7 errors, 7 errors, 6 errors
    Hideki Matsui 2003 and 2004 in LF, 7 errors each season
    Soriano had 11 errors in LF last season, Dunn has had 12
    And Burrell’s avg E’s per year in LF is closer to 5 than 7. A LFer with 5 errors last season? No-arm Johnny Damon.
    I’m not saying Burrell is a good LFer, although he can play there and the Phils won a WS with him in left, I’m just saying LFer’s make errors too, and you guys are a bit off on your stats and analysis.
    Check your facts before you post

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