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PECOTA has some second thoughts

Jan 30, 2010, 1:15 PM EDT

Silly robot. Craig neatly summed up PECOTA’s projected standings for 2010 earlier this week, as the Rays were predicted to finish in first place with the Yankees in third place and on the outside looking in at the playoffs. Mass hysteria followed. Really angry tweets were sent. Crazy times.

But as Marc Topkin of the St. Petersburg Times reports this morning, due to “errors in computation,” PECOTA has adjusted the standings. The Rays are now projected to finish in the third place at 92-70 while the Red Sox and Yankees are tied at 93-69. This means nothing, of course, besides saying we can expect all three teams to be pretty darn good.

  1. Aarcraft - Jan 30, 2010 at 1:43 PM

    Oddly enough, thats exactly what it meant before.

  2. Wells - Jan 30, 2010 at 1:45 PM

    Lookit the Nats going .500.
    I preferred the erroneous computation.

  3. Jackman - Jan 30, 2010 at 2:45 PM

    OMG!!!! THE YANKEES BOUGHT OFF PECOTA!!!!!!!!!

  4. Old Gator - Jan 30, 2010 at 4:02 PM

    What a crock of shit. Look, if you’re not going to spend the money on a Super Cray, or at least on a good used HAL 9000 with Windows Vista Malevolent for Multinationals, get ahold of a Babbage engine and work it out for real.
    .
    The Gnats at 500? Dear Buddha. Pull the plug, will you, so I can hear that stupid machine whining “I’m dyyyyy-i-i-i-ing-g-g-g Da-a-y-y-y-v-v-v…..”

  5. Clementelegend - Jan 30, 2010 at 4:41 PM

    All this furor is foolish. It’s not life or death. It’s okay if someone doesn’t predict the almighty Yankees to win their division again. It’s not even odd to say the Yankees could come in third because of a likely 3 way race this year in the AL East. No one is saying for a moment that any of these teams will fall short by much.

  6. APBA Guy - Jan 30, 2010 at 4:45 PM

    Note no change in the AL West, showing the A’s in first. Surely the computation errors that placed NY third were present for this flight of fantasy.
    The local Athletics Nation blog, which is very good, doesn’t buy the PECOTA projection on the A’s in first. Neither should you.
    http://www.athleticsnation.com/2010/1/29/1274532/baseball-prospectus-pecota

  7. MLB10 - Jan 30, 2010 at 4:53 PM

    I agree with the sentiment that it gets more reaction than it should when you predict a third place finish for the Yanks. It’s as if you’re not allowed to say anything but they’re winning it all.
    No one blinked in eye when in some corners of the public, media… when the Red Sox were picked to come in third place in 2009 after the Rays exciting 2008 campaign– and the new additions the Yankees had made. It’s just a given now that this division is very tough.

  8. Alan - Jan 30, 2010 at 9:24 PM

    A commenter to the St. Pete Times, after spending a few sentences bashing BP (“It is printed for stat nerds and fantasy geeks”), gloated over ESPN’s projections that have the Yankees finishing 13 games ahead of the Rays — failing to realize, I guess, that ESPN was citing ANOTHER COMPUTER PROJECTION (CAIRO I think). Though that one I suppose isn’t for “stat nerds” because it has the teams in the right order.
    Amazing how worked up people get over this stuff.

  9. Old Gator - Jan 31, 2010 at 10:28 AM

    Not amazing at all. If you had to go watch ballgames in that gunite compost heap where the Rays play, you’d be grasping at straws yourself.

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