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2010 projected leaders: ERA

Feb 4, 2010, 6:11 PM EDT

Over the next several days, I’ll be dipping into my 2010 projections and presenting some leaderboards.
NL
1. Tim Lincecum – 2.78
2. Roy Halladay – 2.83
3. Chris Carpenter – 3.06
4. Adam Wainwright – 3.18
5. Johan Santana – 3.31
6. Clayton Kershaw – 3.33
7. Josh Johnson – 3.35
8. Dan Haren – 3.41
9. Tommy Hanson – 3.43
10. Chad Billingsley – 3.47
The ERA crown remains Lincecum’s, but Halladay might have to be considered the Cy Young favorite, given that he should receive better offensive support. Halladay has a tougher ballpark to deal with, but he will be helped by the Phillies’ superior defense.
AL
1. Felix Hernandez – 3.06
2. Zack Greinke – 3.13
3. Cliff Lee – 3.17
4. Jon Lester – 3.35
5. Justin Verlander – 3.53
6. CC Sabathia – 3.54
7. Josh Beckett – 3.58
8. Brett Anderson – 3.60
9. Rick Porcello – 3.74
10. John Lackey – 3.80
I have Anderson and Porcello joining the ranks of the AL’s elite, but other candidates include David Price, Clay Buchholz and Max Scherzer.
Greinke would still be the AL’s best pitcher if he finished so slightly behind Hernandez. That’s because King Felix has an all-world defense backing him up, while Greinke is almost certain to get subpar defensive support.

  1. tacklebox - Feb 4, 2010 at 7:58 PM

    Kershaw and Billingsly, but no Cain. Awww… A dodger fan disguised as a sports writer…

  2. Matt - Feb 4, 2010 at 8:13 PM

    Three Red Sox pitchers in the top 10 with Buchholz as another possibility? That is a filthy rotation.

  3. salvo - Feb 4, 2010 at 10:15 PM

    Carpenter with an ERA above three? Sure, if a line drive breaks his forearm in the 6th inning of his first start after he’s given up two runs….

  4. nick - Feb 5, 2010 at 12:55 AM

    no love for jurrjens, either…yeesh

  5. East Coast Bias - Feb 5, 2010 at 1:38 AM

    Not a single Angel pitcher w/ a sub 3.80 era? It seems that Lackey had to leave to get a little love and the team will be in last place again.

  6. Grant - Feb 5, 2010 at 9:01 AM

    Fans griping about goofy pre-season projections has to be one of the lamest things ever.

  7. salvo - Feb 5, 2010 at 6:49 PM

    agreed—the only thing lamer is commenters griping about fans who gripe about goofy pre-season projections.

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