Skip to content

2010 projected leaders: Home runs

Feb 5, 2010, 6:18 PM EDT

Over the next several days, I’ll be dipping into my 2010 projections and presenting some leaderboards.
1. Ryan Howard – 47
2. Prince Fielder – 42
3. Albert Pujols – 41
3. Mark Teixeira – 41
5. Miguel Cabrera – 39
5. Alex Rodriguez – 39
7. Ryan Braun – 38
7. Adrian Gonzalez – 38
9. Adam Dunn – 37
9. Mark Reynolds – 37
11. Evan Longoria – 35
12. Carlos Pena – 33
13. Jason Bay – 32
13. Jay Bruce – 32
13. Alfonso Soriano – 32
It’s a list dominated by first basemen. Pujols led the majors in homers with 47 last year, followed by Fielder at 46, Howard at 45 and Reynolds at 44. No American Leaguer hit 40, though Teixeira and Pena came up just short at 39 apiece.
I don’t have any middle infielders hitting 30 homers, though Marlins teammates Dan Uggla (29) and Hanley Ramirez (28) are close. The top catchers on the list are Joe Mauer (24) and Brian McCann (23).

  1. Anebriated - Feb 5, 2010 at 7:31 PM

    You dont think Chase Utley will hit 30 with a healthy season?

  2. Uhhhhhhhhh - Feb 5, 2010 at 8:27 PM

    How does Justin Morneau not project to hit at least 32? He had 30 with over a month to go last year (numbers, I might add, he accumulated with a stress fracture in his back) AND will now play outside, at Target Field, where his OPS is 60 points higher than in domes.

  3. supporting uhhhh - Feb 5, 2010 at 10:29 PM

    Target Field = hitters park = MVP #s = more than 32 HRs

  4. yumacommonsense - Feb 5, 2010 at 10:42 PM

    Have to agree with Uhhh… and supporting,
    though some people are saying Target may not be a hitters park, Morneau should do at least 35 if he plays a full year. The Twins acquired a few new bats this off season to protect him and Mauer.

  5. Jonny5 - Feb 5, 2010 at 10:45 PM

    Let’s not forget Jayson Werth. He’s been on an upswing since he landed in philly and had 36 last season. There’s no reason to think he won’t continue the trend and at least hit another 36. Utley is a sure thing for 30 or more. Just a hunch.

  6. Old Gator - Feb 6, 2010 at 12:20 AM

    Do they sell horsemeat and velveeta sandwiches in Clearwater?

  7. cigar ashtray - Feb 6, 2010 at 3:23 PM

    Howdy, I have been a lurker on your website for a couple of months. I appreciate this article and your complete site! Thanks!

  8. JOHN - Feb 7, 2010 at 8:24 AM

    WHAT? I hope that list of yous is not finished?what about BUTLER,and GRANDERSON

  9. Yankee Fan - Feb 13, 2010 at 6:23 PM

    Ummmm – I didn’t see Andre Ethier on the list ????

  10. a stat freek - Jun 1, 2010 at 11:39 AM

    stand up and get your head out in the sun,the bluejays are hitting home runs faster than your brain is adjusting,so where do you get your predictions?
    Dummmm

Leave Comment

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!

Featured video

Who's to blame for Cubs tarp fiasco?
Top 10 MLB Player Searches
  1. R. Castillo (3548)
  2. M. Cuddyer (2611)
  3. K. Bryant (2372)
  4. G. Richards (2099)
  5. A. Garcia (2074)
  1. A. McCutchen (2011)
  2. W. Myers (1998)
  3. J. Werth (1964)
  4. Y. Molina (1832)
  5. A. Cashner (1828)