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Will the Astros ever win a game?

Apr 15, 2010, 9:12 AM EDT

Well, yes, I suppose they will simply because there are so many of them in a baseball season.  Perhaps the more germane questions are (a) when will they win a game; and (b) will they challenge the 1988 Orioles’ record for season-opening futility?

Taking the second question first, I think the answer is no, they will not go 0-21. The reason for it, besides sheer statistical improbability, is that they have a series against the Pirates kicking off a week from tomorrow. Even if they somehow drop today’s game against the Cards and get swept by Chicago and Florida after that, there’s no way the Pirates sweep them at home, right?

Anything can happen on any night in baseball, so it’s entirely possible that they’ll win today or tomorrow. But even if we played these games like computer simulations, with each team getting no more than that which appears on paper, I can’t see the Astros’ opening season streak lasting more than the 15 games it will take to bring the Pirates to town.

In other news, I’m guessing that there are still plenty of good seats available for that series.

  1. Patrick - Apr 15, 2010 at 9:28 AM

    I’m pretty confident that they’ll finish under 100 losses. Like I said in the post below, their rotation is pretty decent (plus Bud Norris is promising), they’re missing their best hitter, and they’ve had bad luck in the pitchers they’ve faced.
    I mean, in just 8 games they’ve already faced Lincecum, Cain, Halladay and Wainwright.

  2. Jonny5 - Apr 15, 2010 at 9:36 AM

    Lol! there is no way they’ll be swept by Chicago.

  3. BC - Apr 15, 2010 at 12:01 PM

    Well, they play the Mets at some point, don’t they?

  4. BubbaPV - Apr 15, 2010 at 4:58 PM

    They just won. I’m as surprised as anyone. Tough even for us Houstonians to be a fan. Made no effort to get a pitcher or a hitter in the offseason. Should break the franchise record of 97 losses (done three times).

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