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So where is Roy Oswalt going?

May 25, 2010, 1:14 PM EDT

roy oswalt headshot astros.jpgI don’t know. But Bernardo Fallas and Zachary Levine of the Houston Chronicle handicap the field today.  Included in their analysis: the Dodgers, Mets, Yankees, Braves, Reds, Nationals, White Sox, and Phillies.

As the writers note, there are issues with all of those, including the willingness to spend money (Dodgers, Phillies), the fact that they aren’t a real contender and thus Oswalt may reject the notion (Mets, Reds, Nationals, Chisox) or the fact that they don’t really have room in the rotation. The writers include the Braves in that last group, though I don’t think it’s safe to say that Kenshin Kawakami is going to keep Roy Oswalt out of the Braves starting five if he were to come over. For Atlanta, the issue is more likely payroll.

Though it’s not at all clear to me that Oswalt — a county boy, we are constantly reminded — wants to play in Los Angeles, the Dodgers make the most sense to me from a baseball perspective. And heck, it’s not like Houston is a small town anyway.  They seem to have less of an excuse than any of the other contenders to not at least try for Oswalt given both their needs and their means, whether or not they’re willing to fulfill them and use them, respectively.

I think the most important thing in all of this is that it’s really, really early in this process.  Trades of this magnitude just don’t come together overnight. Most of the time they sort of linger until the deadline, which is still two months away.  In that time we’ll get a stronger sense of who’s a legitimate contender and who is not and the market will mature.

But really, the Dodgers should totally make a play for the guy.

  1. Abe V. - May 25, 2010 at 1:46 PM

    I’d include the Braves in that last group. Kawakami’s likely to move to the bullpen when Jurrjens gets back, so it would be Oswalt (and his ridiculous salary) versus Medlen, who’s been great this year and is significantly cheaper.
    I do agree with you on the payroll piece – I don’t see the Braves trading for someone making that kind of money, even if it were an offensive weapon instead of a pitcher.

  2. Bill Nye - May 25, 2010 at 1:47 PM

  3. Scott - May 25, 2010 at 2:02 PM

    The Twins should be included to some extent. There just aren’t that many obvious fits plus the no trade clause and even if Wade finds a trade partner and Oswalt accepts who is to say that McLane will sign off on the deal. I think it depends on how much money Houston is willing to eat as part of the deal.

  4. Craig Calcaterra - May 25, 2010 at 2:45 PM

    Yeah, but who reads Aaron freakin’ Gleeman?

  5. Nasty Boy - May 25, 2010 at 2:51 PM

    How about Javy Vazquez ? He seems like a winner in the NL , I’m sure the Yankees can handle the money end of the deal . Sounds like a fair exchange to me .

  6. Jonny5 - May 25, 2010 at 3:42 PM

    I don’t see the Phills dumping anymore money on the SP position as well as Moyer has been pitching along with Happ coming back shortly, they should be fine. And the pen? Damn if they don’t have the best numbers in all of baseball if not close to it, for a combined 1.sumptin era. I remember a certain blogger saying that was the weakness of the team, AHEM! ;>P. What they need to do is figure out how to keep Werth.

  7. neoncactus - May 25, 2010 at 4:42 PM

    Dodgers definitely have the need and with the Twins’ payroll already higher than the Dodgers, and stretched beyond normal, besides having Brad Ausmus on the team and keeping Oswalt in the NL, they should be the front runners.
    But I am pretty sure that they are going to be checking out what they’d have to give up in terms of money and trade on Cliff Lee, Kevin Millwood and Ben Sheets before they get truly serious about Oswalt.

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