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Heyman: Beltre wants $12M+ over five years

Sep 15, 2010, 5:30 PM EDT

Jon Heyman’s latest column is up, and among the many tidbits in it is word from “Red Sox people” who anticipate that Adrian Beltre is going to seek a contract with roughly the same terms of his big post-2004 deal, which ran for five years and $64 million. Heyman’s sources say there’s no way the Red Sox match that.

As Heyman notes, the per-year dollars don’t sound outrageous. He made $10 million this year, and he’s had a great year.  I could easily see him getting between $12-13 million, which is what Mike Lowell was getting, you’ll recall. It’s just a matter of the time commitment. No one but the elite, first-time-on-the-market, top-of-the-free-agent-class guys get five years anymore, and I can’t see Boston doing it for Beltre.  Maybe three years, but not five.

I don’t see many other teams willing to do that either, however, so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Beltre does manage to stick around Boston, only on more favorable terms for the team.

  1. minnesconsin_ad - Sep 15, 2010 at 5:45 PM

    i could be way off base and i don’t have time/access to stats at the moment… but it just seems like he’s never worth the money EXCEPT in a contract year, when he suddenly plays lights out.

  2. okobojicat - Sep 15, 2010 at 5:59 PM

    Actually, he has almost always exceeded his salary in terms of value. In Seattle, he didn’t hit very well because Safeco kills RH hitters, but his defense is so off the charts good (honestly, he’s as good as Longoria) that he saves so many additional runs. If you watch him play regularly, you start to speak of his defense in godlike terms. He really is that good.
    .
    But you don’t have to believe me, look here: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=639&position=3B#value
    .
    Go to the bottom and look at “Value.” The “Dollars” column represents the amount of you would have had to pay on the free agent market that year to get his contributions to your team. Salary represents what he was paid.
    .
    Beltre gets the short shrift because he doesn’t hit like a 1B (and has a horrible avg) but he plays such great defensive and has enough power that he is a great contributor.

  3. John_Michael - Sep 15, 2010 at 9:59 PM

    I could see the O’s getting involved, but not at 4+ years for a 31 year old player. Josh Bell hasn’t exactly been knocking the cover off the ball. Another year of Matuzs/Arrieta/Tillman progression and some offense (Markakis with 10 HRs and Pie with ~5 in the corner OF spots aren’t cutting it) and Bodymore might be sniffing .500 in addition to Old Bay. Add some bop at 3B with defense on top to aid along the young SPs…if anything else, taking away from a division opponent to your gain is a win.

  4. matt - Sep 15, 2010 at 11:36 PM

    haha. Thats so laughable. Gotta love this guys character. He stole money from the Mariners after he got his last monster contract (after 1 careeer year) and here he is conveniently having another monster year just in time for his next contract. What a joke? Don’t team officials get scared off by these guys? Especially when it’s so obvious? The Redsox would be fools to sign this thief. Sounds like a classic Mets candidate to me.

  5. Paper Lions - Sep 16, 2010 at 8:32 AM

    The Red Sox “anticipate” that he is going to want that money….I don’t see anywhere that he said such a thing or even hinted at it. Is sticking to facts instead of making a bunch of shaky assumptions that difficult?

  6. Craig Calcaterra - Sep 16, 2010 at 8:43 AM

    Paper Lions: this is directly from Heyman’s piece:
    “Red Sox people say they wouldn’t be surprised if Beltre tries to duplicate the $64 million, five-year contract he received with Seattle after his big year in Los Angeles in 2004 (but they also say that while they know he’s due a raise from the $10 million he made this year, they won’t offer close to that $64 million deal).”
    I guess we can argue over whether “not being surprised” if something happens and “anticipating” it are two different things, but that’s a fine damn distinction on which to base a “stick to the facts!” criticism, don’t you think?

  7. Joe - Sep 16, 2010 at 9:35 AM

    Last year was a contract year for Beltre, too. But he didn’t do much last year.

  8. minnesconsin_ad - Sep 16, 2010 at 9:53 AM

    I think i still disagree with you guys. looking at the stats you link to, what I see is he had a monster year in 2004, his last w/ the dodgers, batting .334 with 48 homers, 1.02 OBPS and a WAR of 10.1 — then got a huge contract from seattle and never batted better than .276 and had WAR’s of 2.5, 4.9, 3.0, 3.9, and 2.4. So yeah…

  9. doctorfunke - Sep 16, 2010 at 10:30 AM

    I’m sure that we would have heard all sorts of Beltre to the Twins talk again, but thankfully I think Mr. Valencia has put an end to any possibilities of that happening.

  10. gerryb323 - Sep 16, 2010 at 11:51 AM

    Craig, I’m not sure, but I think paperlions was probably referring to the fact that nowhere does it say that Beltre himself stated that he is expecting anything, but that the Red Sox said they think that’s what he would want. That said, I don’t think you said anything about Beltre asking for this type of contract so I’m not really sure paperlions’ point is warranted.

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