Oct 1, 2010, 8:25 AM EDT
San Diego has lost 22 of 34 since August 25th, when they had a six and a half game lead on the Giants. So it’s not like we should weep for them or anything, as their wounds are self-inflicted. But it is a bit sad that such an unexpectedly good season from them is most likely going to end on Sunday rather than extend into postseason land.
And “most likely” is the key phrase here. The playoff math, such as it is, breaks down thusly:
- The Padres could still win the division. How? By sweeping the Giants this weekend and beating them in a one-game playoff on Monday down in San Diego (this weekend’s series is in San Francisco);
- If the Padres sweep and if the Braves
lose all three of their games against the Phillies, no Padres-Giants playoff will be necessary. Why? Because, if both the
Padres and the Giants are assured of a playoff spot they’ll be co-NL West champs, the Padres will be
seeded as the champ in the playoffs and the Giants will be seeded as the wild card. The seeding is
by virtue of the Padres winning the season series from the Giants;
- The Braves playoff magic number is two, so any combination of Braves
wins and Padres losses that add up to two eliminates the Padres from
wild card contention. This could happen as early as tonight.
- If the Padres win two of three from the Giants and the Braves get swept, the Padres and Braves will play game 163 in Atlanta on Monday. Which, even if I don’t want that to happen because of my rooting interests, would be fairly awesome for baseball in general.
I think that covers it all (this involves simple math, and even simple math is a challenge for me). Basically, though, the Padres have to win all three games or they’re probably SOL.
And yes, if you think that part of the reason I wrote this post was so that I can use another pic of the Padres in their 1984 throwbacks from yesterday, you are absolutely right.
- Mariners fire general manager Jack Zduriencik 53
- Pedro Martinez wonders if bad chemistry is the reason the Tigers and Mariners are out of contention 45
- Vote of non-confidence: Reds owner says manager Bryan Price won’t be fired before the season is over 20
- And That Happened: Thursday’s scores and highlights 82
- Denard Span headed back to DL with hip inflammation, unlikely to return this season 10
- Report: Barry Bonds loses collusion case against MLB 40
- Jessica Mendoza to sit in for Curt Schilling on Sunday Night Baseball this week 80
- And That Happened: Wednesday’s scores and highlights 78
- Sarah Palin sticks up for Curt Schilling, tells ESPN to “stick to sports” (238)
- Dan Patrick: When does ESPN cut ties with Curt Schilling? (200)
- Curt Schilling taken off of Little League World Series duty for making a really bad tweet (169)
- Curt Schilling taken off of ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast this week (134)
- Phillies announcer calls Mets fans “obnoxious” (122)