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So how did I do with those predictions?

Oct 4, 2010, 11:27 AM EDT

I'm certain that mine weren't the best around in 2010. I'm pretty sure they weren't the worst either. How were yours?

With not a whole lot going on today, I figured now would be as good a time as any to see how my preseason predictions turned out. The verdict: not as bad as it could have been, but about as random as you might expect.  Here’s what I had, with the team-links going to the full-blown team previews (* is the wild card):

AL East: Yankees, Rays,* Red Sox, Orioles, Blue Jays
AL Central: Twins, Tigers, White Sox, Royals, Indians
AL West: Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics
NL East: Braves, Phillies,* Marlins, Mets, Nationals
NL Central: Cardinals, Reds, Brewers, Cubs, Astros, Pirates
NL West: Rockies, Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, Padres

AL MVP: Kendry Morales
NL MVP: Troy
Tulowitzki
AL Cy Young: CC Sabathia
NL Cy Young:  Roy Halladay
AL Rookie of the Year
Austin Jackson
NL Rookie of the Year: Jason Heyward
AL Manager of the Year:
Joe Maddon
NL Manager of the Year: Bobby Cox

Among the most laughable things was having the Padres in last place, having Kendry Morales as the MVP and having the Angels winning the west. The Padres came out of nowhere, so if anyone had them in first place back in April they were living in fantasyland.  If Morales doesn’t get hurt that Angels prediction is less laughable, but no, his presence alone would not have saved the season. The Rockies and Braves were my bold choices. Neither panned out perfectly, though I’m pretty sure I’m in the minority in thinking that Atlanta would make the playoffs. If Colorado had figured it out Tulowitzki had a good shot at the MVP, but alas it will not be.

Sabathia and Halladay were pretty obvious but pretty good preseason choices for Cy Young. Halladay will get it, I’m almost certain. When people have asked me lately I’ve given the pessimistic “Sabathia will win it” answer for the AL, but now that I think about it a bit more, I wonder if the tide (or the hysteria) has turned and Felix Hernandez won’t get it after all.  If not, my preseason comments about the writers not wanting to give it to a low win-total guy for the second straight year will have been somewhat prescient.

Heyward and Jackson as rookies of the year are defensible, but I’m guessing that I successfully predicted second place in each league rather than the winner. Picking the manager of the year is a toughie. Maddon and Cox weren’t nuts, but neither will get it. If the Padres and Rangers hadn’t played so well this year maybe Maddon and Cox would have gotten it.

I still think predictions are a sucker’s game, yet I still do them because they’re fun. So much so that I’ll certainly try to predict the postseason here in the next 48 hours.  I wonder how wrong I’ll be about that?

  1. Old Gator - Oct 5, 2010 at 1:28 AM

    I wish I knew what happened to Jimmy the Marlins Fan. He disappeared somewhere around the beginning of the second third of the season as it was becoming dismally apparent that the Feesh were not, after all, going to compete meaningfully in a division that included the Bravos and Feelies on a cheapskate budget. Jimmy, I am with you in spirit, contrary to your ill-informed defense of Scrooge McLoria’s spending policies.
    .
    Nevertheless, at the beginning of the season Craig and I had a sit-down lunch at La Carreta in Little Havana and he asked me how I thought the Feesh would do this year. I bluntly predicted that given their sorry excuse for a boolpen and Scrooge McLoria’s vehement refusal to spend anything on a reliable closer or setup man, that they’d be lucky to play .500 ball. I was wrong. They weren’t lucky.

  2. mustbechris - Oct 5, 2010 at 8:44 AM

    If by “bold” you mean you were being a homer, then yes, picking the Braves is pretty bold of you, Craig.
    At least you didn’t call them the team to beat.

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