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The Yankees have hope: they just need to get the series back to Texas

Oct 20, 2010, 9:56 AM EDT

Nick Swisher

The Yankees certainly have their backs up against the wall. A 14.6 % chance of winning the series if you believe Rational Pastime. And to do that they have to channel their inner-2004 Boston Red Sox, and that may be simply unpalatable for them. Tough break, ya know?

But hey, maybe their chances are a tad better if they can just steal one this afternoon. Why? Because that sends it back to Texas, and if that happens, recent history — which probably means little, but which is all the hope a Yankees fan can ask for right now — favors them. Check out the home records in the AL playoffs so far:

Rays: 0-3
Twins: 0-2
Rangers: 1-3
Yankees: 1-2

CC Sabathia + the vagaries of small sample size fate are on their side!

(thanks to reader Johnny T. for the heads up on the home records)  

  1. Chris Fiorentino - Oct 20, 2010 at 10:47 AM

    Those numbers above leave out one MAJOR point when it comes to the home records…Cliff Lee pitched all 3 of his games on the Road this postseason. This time, he would be pitching at home.

  2. madaozeki - Oct 20, 2010 at 10:50 AM

    “maybe their chances are a tad better if they can just steal one this afternoon.”

    Um, yes, if they win one of the 3 games they need to win, their chances of winning all 3 games does go up, oddly…

  3. Richard In Big D - Oct 20, 2010 at 11:05 AM

    If you flip a coin three times, the odds are 1 in 8 (12 1/2%) that the Bronx Boobs win all three. I guess Rational Pastime isn’t willing to go TOO far out on that limb. I only hope the Rangers can win the WS in 4 or 5, so the fans here get to enjoy it in person, instead of on TV.

    • Old Gator - Oct 20, 2010 at 11:30 AM

      Bronx Boobs? Oh baby, that’s so contumelious. Aside from general principle, what has a guy from Des Moines got against the Borg anyway?

      • Richard In Big D - Oct 20, 2010 at 11:35 AM

        Des Moines? Look straight south on I-35 about 700 miles or so…

    • Old Gator - Oct 20, 2010 at 11:52 AM

      That’s funny. Granny’s farm was just to the west of the Big D. Folks about 200 miles to the northeast of us used to refer to Dubuque as the Big D, but we never took them all that seriously either.

  4. Jonny 5 - Oct 20, 2010 at 12:17 PM

    It has been said, and it shall be. “Frenchies team will advance”

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