http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/11/26/kaz-matsui-returns-to-japan-as-teams-wait-to-hear-results-of-tsuyoshi-nishioka-bidding/ Baseball. Baseball. And then a bit more baseball. Tue, 21 May 2013 03:43:17 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/11/26/kaz-matsui-returns-to-japan-as-teams-wait-to-hear-results-of-tsuyoshi-nishioka-bidding/comment-page-1/#comment-93867 Fri, 26 Nov 2010 16:46:22 +0000 http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=28076#comment-93867 Statistically, one data point is slightly better than none, but nowhere near as useful as 30. Emotionally, one data point can be huge, especially when the similarities are as you pointed out above. Both Cuban and Japanese players have been very difficult to project. You look at Ichiro and Godzilla, plus some of the relievers and you see success. Some of the other players, not so much (Kaz Matsui, Iwamura, So Taguchi, etc). And starting pitchers are even tougher. I can see why the A’s have been so steadfast in their bargaining approach to their potential Japanese starter. How do you accurately measure the risk?

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