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Jeremy Hermida signs with the Reds

Jan 4, 2011, 8:59 AM EDT

Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners Getty Images

This is not a notable signing in and of itself.  Jeremy Hermida will, at best, be a bat off the bench for Cincinnati.  It’s notable, however, because it shows just how powerful first impressions can be.

Hermida raked during a cup of coffee with the Marlins in 2005 and had another nice 120 games with them in 2007. Since then: blahsville. A little pop, a little plate discipline, but probably not enough of either to stick as a corner outfielder. But man, that early promise lingers. It was enough to make two really bright GMs — Theo Epstein and Billy Beane — take a chance on Hermida last season.  He flopped in both Boston and Oakland.

I’m not saying the Reds signing of Hermida is based on a fantasy or anything because even if he plays at the level he showed in 2008 and 2009 he’d be useful.  I bet, though, that even if he puts up another season like he did in 2010 that he’ll get more chances based on that 2005 and 2007. Why? Because there’s a sense out there that what a player does when he’s young represents his true talent level, and that if given enough time he’ll get back to it.  Likewise, there’s a sense that if a player first does well when he’s older, it was a fluke.

Sometimes, though, the fluke seasons come when a player is young.  Look at Jeff Francoeur. I think Hermida might be the same kind of player. Not in substance, but at least in terms of career pattern.

  1. BC - Jan 4, 2011 at 9:51 AM

    He was about as useful as a screen door on a submarine for the Red Sox. Good luck, Reds.

  2. Chris K - Jan 4, 2011 at 4:17 PM

    Jose Bautista?

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