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	<title>Comments on: Springtime Storylines: Can the Twins win a third straight AL Central title?</title>
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	<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/</link>
	<description>Baseball. Baseball. And then a bit more baseball.</description>
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		<title>By: cjvirnig</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121256</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[cjvirnig]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Mar 2011 07:48:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121256</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t think there&#039;s any reason to believe defense won&#039;t continue to be a huge strength for the Twins.  Before I elaborate on that, there is absolutely no denying that the Twins defense in 2011, even if it&#039;s not quite as good as it was last year, will be noticeably better than either the Tigers or White Sox.

My contention is that I don&#039;t see any reason why it can&#039;t be as good as it was in 2010.  Tsuyoshi Nishioka probably won&#039;t be the next Ichiro Suzuki.  As Aaron suggests, his offensive numbers may indeed come to parallel those of former Twin Jason Bartlett.  But where is this skepticism of his defense coming from?  I&#039;ve seen a handful of Twins spring training games and I&#039;ve seen Nishioka make very good plays in every one of them.  In fact, I would go as far as to suggest that Nishioka&#039;s glove is not only superior to that of either JJ Hardy or Orlando Hudson, but quite a bit better. 

O-Dawg was one of those players who would make a dazzling defensive play one inning and then boot a routine grounder the next inning.  He did that time and time again last year.  Hardy, too, was capable of making Web Gem plays in the hole, while also being capable of screwing up easy double plays (which he did several times last year).

In short, if we&#039;re skeptical of anyone on the Twins infield, it should be Alexi Casilla, not Nishioka.  Casilla, in his handful of stints as a Twins starter, has shown to be a gifted but often times lazy infielder.  From a defensive standpoint, he sort of reminds me of Luis Rivas in that there are many instances where Casilla just doesn&#039;t seem to give it 100%.  Also like Rivas, he doesn&#039;t seem to CARE that he&#039;s not giving it 100%.  That will need to change if he&#039;s going to last the whole year on a Ron Gardenhire team.

The only other major defensive question mark is obviously left field.  Span in center is superb and Cuddyer&#039;s cannon arm in right usually makes up for his lack of overall speed.  But Delmon Young and/or Jason Kubel leaves us wanting.  If Delmon can replicate his numbers from 2010, I think most Twins fans will be more than willing to overlook his defensive awkwardness (for lack of a better term).  Kubel, as Aaron mentioned, is playing for his next contract, so hopefully he&#039;ll have a little more pep in his step.

In all, middle relief is the biggest question mark for the Twins.  Personally, I&#039;m not worried at all offensively or defensively.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s any reason to believe defense won&#8217;t continue to be a huge strength for the Twins.  Before I elaborate on that, there is absolutely no denying that the Twins defense in 2011, even if it&#8217;s not quite as good as it was last year, will be noticeably better than either the Tigers or White Sox.</p>
<p>My contention is that I don&#8217;t see any reason why it can&#8217;t be as good as it was in 2010.  Tsuyoshi Nishioka probably won&#8217;t be the next Ichiro Suzuki.  As Aaron suggests, his offensive numbers may indeed come to parallel those of former Twin Jason Bartlett.  But where is this skepticism of his defense coming from?  I&#8217;ve seen a handful of Twins spring training games and I&#8217;ve seen Nishioka make very good plays in every one of them.  In fact, I would go as far as to suggest that Nishioka&#8217;s glove is not only superior to that of either JJ Hardy or Orlando Hudson, but quite a bit better. </p>
<p>O-Dawg was one of those players who would make a dazzling defensive play one inning and then boot a routine grounder the next inning.  He did that time and time again last year.  Hardy, too, was capable of making Web Gem plays in the hole, while also being capable of screwing up easy double plays (which he did several times last year).</p>
<p>In short, if we&#8217;re skeptical of anyone on the Twins infield, it should be Alexi Casilla, not Nishioka.  Casilla, in his handful of stints as a Twins starter, has shown to be a gifted but often times lazy infielder.  From a defensive standpoint, he sort of reminds me of Luis Rivas in that there are many instances where Casilla just doesn&#8217;t seem to give it 100%.  Also like Rivas, he doesn&#8217;t seem to CARE that he&#8217;s not giving it 100%.  That will need to change if he&#8217;s going to last the whole year on a Ron Gardenhire team.</p>
<p>The only other major defensive question mark is obviously left field.  Span in center is superb and Cuddyer&#8217;s cannon arm in right usually makes up for his lack of overall speed.  But Delmon Young and/or Jason Kubel leaves us wanting.  If Delmon can replicate his numbers from 2010, I think most Twins fans will be more than willing to overlook his defensive awkwardness (for lack of a better term).  Kubel, as Aaron mentioned, is playing for his next contract, so hopefully he&#8217;ll have a little more pep in his step.</p>
<p>In all, middle relief is the biggest question mark for the Twins.  Personally, I&#8217;m not worried at all offensively or defensively.</p>
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		<title>By: Ari Collins</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121238</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ari Collins]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Mar 2011 04:13:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121238</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You... you admitted you might&#039;ve been wrong? You do realize this is THE INTERNET, right?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8230; you admitted you might&#8217;ve been wrong? You do realize this is THE INTERNET, right?</p>
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		<title>By: Ari Collins</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121236</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ari Collins]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Mar 2011 04:11:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pot, meet kettle. Kettle, pot. I think you two will find you have a lot in common!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pot, meet kettle. Kettle, pot. I think you two will find you have a lot in common!</p>
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		<title>By: atribecalledtwolves</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121206</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[atribecalledtwolves]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 22:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121206</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As a Twins fan, I sure hope so. I really like our chances, but the White Sox and Tigers will be pretty good teams.

I&#039;m worried about the bullpen, but I think Gardy and Rick Anderson are very good at giving the relievers the best chance to be successful (favorable match-ups, don&#039;t require a lot of outs).

I think the offense will be on the upswing. A lot of guys had down years and Morneau missing the stretch didn&#039;t help our power numbers. I think Valencia, Kubel, Cuddyer, Mauer and Span are all capable of having better years. I think the hitters will get used to hitting at Target Field this season (not the best reason, just a unproven theory).

The rotation has depth, but will it have results?

I think the addition of speed in the line-up and increased power, along with the addition of Gibson will lead to 92-96 wins.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As a Twins fan, I sure hope so. I really like our chances, but the White Sox and Tigers will be pretty good teams.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m worried about the bullpen, but I think Gardy and Rick Anderson are very good at giving the relievers the best chance to be successful (favorable match-ups, don&#8217;t require a lot of outs).</p>
<p>I think the offense will be on the upswing. A lot of guys had down years and Morneau missing the stretch didn&#8217;t help our power numbers. I think Valencia, Kubel, Cuddyer, Mauer and Span are all capable of having better years. I think the hitters will get used to hitting at Target Field this season (not the best reason, just a unproven theory).</p>
<p>The rotation has depth, but will it have results?</p>
<p>I think the addition of speed in the line-up and increased power, along with the addition of Gibson will lead to 92-96 wins.</p>
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		<title>By: frankvzappa</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121201</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[frankvzappa]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 22:19:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[if the Twins make it, they will be playing the Blue Jays, so i wouldnt get your hopes up...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>if the Twins make it, they will be playing the Blue Jays, so i wouldnt get your hopes up&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: minnesconsin</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121175</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[minnesconsin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 20:38:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121175</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t think it has anything to do w/ the resources that the Yankees and Sox have. The Yankees&#039; $200M+ payroll couldn&#039;t get them past the Rangers ($55M 2010 payroll) last year. Boston&#039;s $160M+ payroll couldn&#039;t get them into the playoffs at all.

Meanwhile, the Giants had a payroll within a few hundred thousand of Minnesota&#039;s last year, and they won the Series.

I love the Twins, and I hope they do well. But they have problems and it&#039;s a cop-out to chalk them up to financial inequities. We&#039;re talking about a team who just extended a manager with a 6-21 post-season record.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think it has anything to do w/ the resources that the Yankees and Sox have. The Yankees&#8217; $200M+ payroll couldn&#8217;t get them past the Rangers ($55M 2010 payroll) last year. Boston&#8217;s $160M+ payroll couldn&#8217;t get them into the playoffs at all.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Giants had a payroll within a few hundred thousand of Minnesota&#8217;s last year, and they won the Series.</p>
<p>I love the Twins, and I hope they do well. But they have problems and it&#8217;s a cop-out to chalk them up to financial inequities. We&#8217;re talking about a team who just extended a manager with a 6-21 post-season record.</p>
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		<title>By: florida76</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121165</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[florida76]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 20:25:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121165</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Winning the AL Central is a nice achievement, but nothing more than that. Despite having a solid organization, this franchise has been left wanting when it counts most.

With the increased payroll and new stadium from last year, the stakes have been officially raised for the Twins. In Minnesota, a growing number of fans are concerned this team is content with making the playoffs. Since 1991, the Twins have been a playoff disaster, and now the fans are expecting a pennant at least with the increased resources. Unfortunately, the virtually unlimited resources of teams like the Yanks and Red Sox will continue to make that goal extremely difficult.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Winning the AL Central is a nice achievement, but nothing more than that. Despite having a solid organization, this franchise has been left wanting when it counts most.</p>
<p>With the increased payroll and new stadium from last year, the stakes have been officially raised for the Twins. In Minnesota, a growing number of fans are concerned this team is content with making the playoffs. Since 1991, the Twins have been a playoff disaster, and now the fans are expecting a pennant at least with the increased resources. Unfortunately, the virtually unlimited resources of teams like the Yanks and Red Sox will continue to make that goal extremely difficult.</p>
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		<title>By: minnesconsin</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121160</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[minnesconsin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 20:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[i would call last year &quot;very good,&quot;  but probably not fantastic. To the contrary of what you guys are saying, I expect Valencia to continue to improve. Maybe that makes me naive, maybe I&#039;ll be right on.

That said, after reading Gleeman&#039;s blurb about Nishi and looking at his Japanese stats more carefully, I see how stupid my original comment was. Hey, at least I admit it :)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>i would call last year &#8220;very good,&#8221;  but probably not fantastic. To the contrary of what you guys are saying, I expect Valencia to continue to improve. Maybe that makes me naive, maybe I&#8217;ll be right on.</p>
<p>That said, after reading Gleeman&#8217;s blurb about Nishi and looking at his Japanese stats more carefully, I see how stupid my original comment was. Hey, at least I admit it <img src='http://s0.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: billtpa</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121157</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[billtpa]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 20:07:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121157</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It shouldn&#039;t be controversial that Danny Valencia&#039;s minor league stats are a more accurate measure of his potential than last year&#039;s rookie stats. That&#039;s just obviously true. Any player can get hot for around half a season (or more accurately, any player can have a great half-month, as Valencia&#039;s unbelievable July is almost solely responsible for his impressive overall numbers). On the other hand, he&#039;s had more than six times as much experience in the minors, and I&#039;d have to disagree with nick5253--those numbers don&#039;t come close to suggesting that he might be an average big-league 3B. He very well might be, but the projections one might draw from his minor league numbers suggest something less than even that.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It shouldn&#8217;t be controversial that Danny Valencia&#8217;s minor league stats are a more accurate measure of his potential than last year&#8217;s rookie stats. That&#8217;s just obviously true. Any player can get hot for around half a season (or more accurately, any player can have a great half-month, as Valencia&#8217;s unbelievable July is almost solely responsible for his impressive overall numbers). On the other hand, he&#8217;s had more than six times as much experience in the minors, and I&#8217;d have to disagree with nick5253&#8211;those numbers don&#8217;t come close to suggesting that he might be an average big-league 3B. He very well might be, but the projections one might draw from his minor league numbers suggest something less than even that.</p>
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		<title>By: nick5253</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121151</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[nick5253]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 19:55:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Danny Valencia was not solid last year, he was fantastic. His minor league track record would suggest he&#039;d end up being an average to slightly above average MLB 3B. So, I think AG hit the nail on the head here - he&#039;ll still be a good, solid, everyday MLB 3B, but not as great as he was last year. Last year his slash line was 0.311 / 0.351 / 0.448. I would venture to guess this year&#039;s will be more like 0.290 / 0.335 / 0.440.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Danny Valencia was not solid last year, he was fantastic. His minor league track record would suggest he&#8217;d end up being an average to slightly above average MLB 3B. So, I think AG hit the nail on the head here &#8211; he&#8217;ll still be a good, solid, everyday MLB 3B, but not as great as he was last year. Last year his slash line was 0.311 / 0.351 / 0.448. I would venture to guess this year&#8217;s will be more like 0.290 / 0.335 / 0.440.</p>
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		<title>By: minnesconsin</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121142</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[minnesconsin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 19:46:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think you&#039;re right on w/ most of this, Aaron, but one sentence troubles me: &quot;On the other hand, Danny Valencia‘s track record suggests he’s unlikely to be as great as he looked as a rookie.&quot;

Coming off an impressive rookie campaign, how does Valencia&#039;s track record suggest he&#039;ll be anything other than solid? His minor league stats aren&#039;t phenomenal, but it seems odd to say in the same breath that Nishioka&#039;s stats in Japan won&#039;t translate to similar MLB production, but that Danny Valencia&#039;s minor league stats are somehow a more accurate measure of his potential than last year&#039;s rookie stats.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you&#8217;re right on w/ most of this, Aaron, but one sentence troubles me: &#8220;On the other hand, Danny Valencia‘s track record suggests he’s unlikely to be as great as he looked as a rookie.&#8221;</p>
<p>Coming off an impressive rookie campaign, how does Valencia&#8217;s track record suggest he&#8217;ll be anything other than solid? His minor league stats aren&#8217;t phenomenal, but it seems odd to say in the same breath that Nishioka&#8217;s stats in Japan won&#8217;t translate to similar MLB production, but that Danny Valencia&#8217;s minor league stats are somehow a more accurate measure of his potential than last year&#8217;s rookie stats.</p>
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		<title>By: steveflack</title>
		<link>http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/22/springtime-storylines-can-the-twins-win-a-third-straight-al-central-title/comment-page-1/#comment-121140</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[steveflack]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2011 19:42:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/?p=46654#comment-121140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hopefully they will, because it just wouldn&#039;t be October baseball without the Yankees beating the Twins.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hopefully they will, because it just wouldn&#8217;t be October baseball without the Yankees beating the Twins.</p>
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