Comments on: Scouting night owls is the new market inefficiency. Well, not for the Cubs.

By: spudchukar

spudchukar — Tue, 14 Jun 2011 22:58:01 +0000

This is so odd. Just Yesterday I was pondering this very issue. Freaky, Craig. But the conclusion I came to was different. Rather than factor in the weather, biorhythms or interior clocks, how about sin. I know if I got off work early everyday, lived in a party town like Chicago, and began my night early, and didn’t retire until the wee hours of the morning, my productivity would slide. Hung over and playing in the brilliant sunshine, or howling wind, probably doesn’t bring out the best in a player. So maybe it isn’t so much the daytime games as the nighttime accessability.

By: cur68

cur68 — Tue, 14 Jun 2011 22:53:02 +0000

Man I should send this to my supervisor! I’m always getting sample size & skewed data crap. This guy can get up and present data on a single digit percentile of MLB players and call it ‘a study’? I so got into the wrong gig.

By: cubsrice

cubsrice — Tue, 14 Jun 2011 20:06:25 +0000

Goodness…he didn’t really publish this but talked about it at a conference. Last year it was 18 pitchers using ERA as the evaluator. This year it was 16 batters and batting average. No talk of p-values or anything even remotely trying to show statistical significance.

By: cubsrice

cubsrice — Tue, 14 Jun 2011 20:02:01 +0000

I’m thinking that A) he should have interviewed many more players and B) he should have used something that isn’t as fickle as batting average. I didn’t check to see which journal this ended up in, but I’m pretty sure it wasn’t a good one.

By: yankeesfanlen

yankeesfanlen — Tue, 14 Jun 2011 19:44:45 +0000

The annual meeting of the Associated Professional Sleep Societies reminded me it’s time for my afternoon nap.