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A visual representation of soul-killing collapses

Sep 29, 2011, 11:33 AM EDT

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This is not for the weak-of-stomach, at least in Boston and Atlanta. But it’s fantastic all the same.

From Sportsclubstats.com, they’re graphs representing the probability of reaching the playoffs throughout the season for both the Braves and the Red Sox. Yes, we all can intellectually understand just how swiftly each team snatched failure from the mouth of success, but it’s something else altogether to see it set forth with steep downward slopes like this.

  1. Old Gator - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:39 AM

    Lies, damned lies and statistics.

  2. churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:41 AM

    For a slight pick-me-up, read this latest article by Dave Cameron at fangraphs*. Money quote:

    For whatever reason, it has become fashionable in America to take the results of sporting events and extrapolate character and fortitude from the outcome. Within seconds of Evan Longoria‘s second home run of the night, we were being told that we saw “one team who wanted it and one team who didn’t know how to get it”, with the inference being that Tampa Bay’s improbable comebacks were the result of their determination and willpower, while the Red Sox collapse shows that they simply didn’t have that kind of inner strength.

    It’s all B.S. If reality was dictated by the strength of one’s desire, every 18-year-old boy in America would be sleeping with Megan Fox

    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/outcomes-and-desire/

    • El Bravo - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:44 AM

      Well, speak for yourself. Megan just crawled out from under my office desk.

  3. Gamera the Brave - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:43 AM

    …And many of the 48-year-old boys as well…

  4. illcomm - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:45 AM

    At least u don’t have to worry. People that throw their team under the bus as soon as they lose have no soul. You Craig, like a lot of fake sports fans, are too quick to just try and find blame for anything and everything just to sleep at night. Braves had a heck of a season, but with 162 games, the cardinals had a better one.

    • Panda Claus - Sep 29, 2011 at 2:44 PM

      Did you just call our beloved blog master a “fake sports fan”?

      Oh noes he didn’t…

  5. kandh2004 - Sep 29, 2011 at 11:55 AM

    Dude really you need to let it go looking at it from every way is just crazy. Graphs and wondering why he pitched to Pence just find a better team hahahahahahaha. Bunch of losers

    • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:00 PM

      Bunch of losers

      Please tell me you’re not a Phillies fan.

      • Francisco (FC) - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:12 PM

        Yes please, we already have enough douche bags in the fan base as it is.

      • WhenMattStairsIsKing - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:19 PM

        It’s guys like him that get quoted in Craig’s articles ;) let’s all be mindful.

  6. lessthanittakes - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:19 PM

    If you zoom in reee-al close to that last dot, you’ll find Craig on the edge of the slope.

  7. El Bravo - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:22 PM

    As a Braves fan, we demand our place in the dubious historical records of baseball.

  8. hank10 - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:23 PM

    Graph resembles my 401(k) plan.

  9. Francisco (FC) - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:36 PM

    It was a wild night! Lots of highs, lots of lows, unexpected twists. It was a showdown for the ages. Except the Braves came off the wrong side of it. Craig had spent the night in his Lair watching the playoff games on his massive screen. His twitter feed chirped constantly all night; he received so many messages it was impossible to keep up so he stopped trying.

    He cheered when Uggla homered off Hamels! Cursed when Wilson couldn’t field Ruiz’s grounder cleanly. Cheered again when they got the double play in the next at bat. Cursed again when Utley got the sac fly. And he almost fell off his high chair with that mammoth blast that Martinez had to snag running into deep center. And then of course he tried to pull the non-existent hair on his head when Freddi pitched to Hunter Pence with men on first and third with two outs in the 13th. The result was predictable, it was too much! He pretty much tuned out the world then and there…

    Tiffany and Drew made it to the Lair, they hadn’t heard from Craig all morning and were starting to get worried. The scene inside was quite a spectacle. All sorts of various snacks and bowls and drinks were strewn all over the place. Craig was slumped in his high chair, in a daze, sort of a shock. His Braves Bathrobe quite disheveled. The bubble pipe clinging to his bottom lip, long since run out of bubbles. Even the Phanatic Rug was out of place, as if Craig had wrestled with it in frustration at some point last night. On the screen the massive 70″ LED screen showed a specific play, in a loop, over and over again. Hunter Pence hitting the seeing-eye single into shallow right field behind first place and Dan Uggla struggling and stumbling over the ball trying to get to it and record an out (ANY out) and failed to do so…

    “Wow! This is worse than I thought. You know he kind of looks like Jimmy Fallon in that movie about the Red Sox.” said Drew, while ogling the scene.

    Tiffany merely frowned. “Help me pick him up. After all, we still need him to cover the post-season…”

  10. cur68 - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:38 PM

    Just crawled out of the noisome cave that I call a bed and what do I find? Graphs. Meh. Don’t care ’bout no stinking graphs. The best part of this season was yesterday evening. The interwebs are fluxing with news, comments and 2nd guessing. The shattered hulks of 2 mighty teams are bloating gently in the sun. I’ve tried to read it all. Can’t. So, the take away:

    First and foremost, the important stuff,

    There is no more Beaver Men Baseball.

    Now the silliness;

    El Bravo has changed his name. Sorry Jason Heyward, another fan bites the dust.

    Craig is doing his best to hide his grief by eviscerating Fredi Gonzalez.

    Some Philly Phans are still bitching about being dissed. Some are philosophical and looking forward to being in the playoffs. Up is still up and down is where fans of the Sox and Braves are.

    The trolls have found bigger sticks to thump around, especially trolls form Florida.

    I have a hangover

    It’s been just a grand regular season. I’m sorry its over.

    And finally, last night was the best night of baseball I ever saw excepting for when Joe Carter hit a home run to win the WS for the Beaver Men.

    Graphs of who had a chance to win, vs who didn’t are meaningless. Both the Sox and the Braves had excellent chances to prolong their seasons till today. They were this close. I was looking forward to another day of baseball. Now, though, I have nothing till the playoffs start. This is going to be a gooder. Do we have a graph for how good yet?

    • El Bravo - Sep 29, 2011 at 3:31 PM

      I’m not sure why I kept the alias as long as I did. El Bravo is more true to my soul and was my original name after all.

      • cur68 - Sep 29, 2011 at 3:46 PM

        Ah yes, but did you consider the one I proposed for you yesterday? Monsieur Brett “Le chasseur de castors” Lawrie? Was it even in the conversation?

      • El Bravo - Sep 29, 2011 at 4:06 PM

        Ah, I missed that comment. No it wasn’t unless Lawrie up and leaves for the Bravos. We’d love to have him! He can leave the douchiness at home though….

  11. dailyrev - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:39 PM

    Advertising once again captures the moment: this screen capture of this morning’s MSNBC site delivers the total message better than any chart or graph can. You can now tell your tea-friends that the gov’t is good for something after all.

  12. dailyrev - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:39 PM

    Whoops, editor reject img code in the field. http://cosmicconsciousness.us/cia.jpg

  13. Big Ed Robles - Sep 29, 2011 at 12:51 PM

    At least your season didn’t look like this: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/NLWestern/Dodgers_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

    Then again, we did have some intriguing MVP, Cy Young, Triple Crown, 40/40 drama there at the end…

  14. kandh2004 - Sep 29, 2011 at 1:04 PM

    Yes a phillies phan and loving it nobody can say anything about my team today #1 seed best record in all of baseball not choking over here. Bunch of losers

    • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Sep 29, 2011 at 3:38 PM

      First baseball team to ever lose 10,000 games. I’d be careful throwing around the word losers

  15. bigphilippe - Sep 29, 2011 at 4:56 PM

    Has Fan Graphs ever done this for the Bill Buckner game? That’d be fascinating

  16. kandh2004 - Sep 29, 2011 at 5:59 PM

    About losing 10,000 games it happens when your around for 125+ years and there were some god awful teams but if you like living in the past that’s fine with me I’m talking about now the last 5 years nobody can top that. Bunch of losers

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