Oct 20, 2011, 8:50 AM EDT
We like to say that anything can happen in a short series, but at some point you have to acknowledge that some things happening are pretty unlikely, at least from a statistical/historical point of view.
Example: the team losing Game 1 of the World Series going on to win it. In fact, as noted in the AP gamer, the winner of Game 1 of the World Series has won seven of the last eight titles, 12 of the last 14 and 19 of the last 23.
Of course the Rangers can still win this. They barely lost last night’s game against the opposition’s best starter in freezing conditions. There is no such thing as a locked-in fate or whatever, and I don’t want to oversell this idea.
It’s just that if they do win, just understand that they’ll be doing something that — by the numbers anyway — hasn’t happened all that often in recent years.
- Andrew Friedman got $35 million to leave the Rays for the Dodgers … and he might be underpaid 9
- Shocker! Joe Maddon to opt out of his contract and leave the Rays 105
- World Series Reset: On to AT&T Park 14
- The World Series ratings are low. So what? 98
- John Hart to be named Braves President of Baseball Operations 3
- No, Ned Yost didn’t “out-manage” Bruce Bochy. His players played better 69
- At least Hunter Strickland entertained us last night 37
- Royals even up World Series with 7-2 Game 2 victory 43
- So, if you’re not a fan of the Royals or Giants, who ya got? (129)
- Erroneous Narrative Alert: no, the Giants are not a “gritty,” anti-stats organization (122)
- Pedro Martinez has some opinions about who the new “face of baseball” is (112)
- PANTY RAID! Homeland Security agents confiscate unlicensed Kansas City Royals underwear (109)
- Shocker! Joe Maddon to opt out of his contract and leave the Rays (104)