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Last night’s Win Probability graph is hilarious

Oct 28, 2011, 2:14 PM EDT

Fan Graphs has real-time Win Probability graphs for every game, which track each team’s chances of winning based on the historical odds of the specific game situation at the time.

Last night’s Win Probability graph is pretty amazing. It looks more like an EKG for … well, a Cardinals or Rangers fan watching the game:


  1. phukyouk - Oct 28, 2011 at 2:18 PM

    that is TLR’s EKG the exact moment that Holliday got picked off at 3rd.

  2. cur68 - Oct 28, 2011 at 2:19 PM

    I bet if you put that line to music it plays an awesome tune with a great high note finish. Human heart rate variability (which is not EKG) in healthy people looks something like that. Especially when they are having a lot of fun…

    • antlerclaws - Oct 28, 2011 at 2:23 PM

      Too bad I flatlined when Freese hit the walk-off. However, I was resucitated and am ready to do it again tonight!

      • Francisco (FC) - Oct 28, 2011 at 2:43 PM

        Wait! That was you on TV? I thought it was Nolan Ryan!

  3. theonlynolan - Oct 28, 2011 at 2:25 PM

    If tonight’s game is anything like what we saw last night this could go down as one of the best World Series ever.

    • phukyouk - Oct 28, 2011 at 3:15 PM

      Bottom of the 9th 2 outs 0-2 count bases loaded. STL down by 3 and Albert is at the plate. and heres the pitch… ITS GOING BACK BACK BACK BACK GONE! GONE! GONE! HOLY FU**ING SH**T. A BOTTOM OF THE 9TH WS ENDING GRAND SLAM!

      *as Albert crosses the plate he is handed a new 7 yr $175 Mil Contract which he signed on the spot and the place goes WILD.

      yea that would go down as the best ever

      • dadawg77 - Oct 28, 2011 at 4:29 PM

        Nah, the end should be worthy of one of the greatest poems in baseball literature. Because hearts may be light listening to the band player in the sun shine, for there will be no joy in Muddy St Louis as the Mighty Albert has struck out.

  4. theonlynolan - Oct 28, 2011 at 3:36 PM

    I don’t think 7/175 is gonna get the job done on Pujols.

    • phukyouk - Oct 28, 2011 at 3:41 PM

      you think hes going to get more yrs or more money? or both?

  5. fearlessleader - Oct 28, 2011 at 3:36 PM

    This is absolutely awesome. But unless I’m reading or remembering wrong, I think the “Berkman single” and “Freese triple” points are reversed. Freese’s triple came in the ninth, and Berkman’s single was in the 10th.

  6. theonlynolan - Oct 28, 2011 at 3:45 PM

    Both, youk. Seems like 8/200 is where talks start and wouldn’t be surprised to see him end up with around 27 or 28 million annually.

  7. WhenMattStairsIsKing - Oct 28, 2011 at 5:06 PM

    And so many people in baseball think stats aren’t worth it. That graph is awesome.

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