Comments on: Albert Pujols’ contract carries $10M in milestone incentives

By: foreverchipper10

foreverchipper10 — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 22:46:08 +0000

Really? 97% for 600 homers but only 58% for 3000 hits? I say he eclipses both easily.

By: stlouis1baseball

stlouis1baseball — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 19:20:32 +0000

Reflex: Just chaulk it up to the all drama-all the time Jerry Springer mentality.

By: stlouis1baseball

stlouis1baseball — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 19:19:11 +0000

Stan: Thumbs up for the “Lala Land” reference. Hahaha!

By: Reflex

Reflex — Mon, 19 Dec 2011 06:26:08 +0000

That would require him to start roiding of course….

By: mattjerr

mattjerr — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 22:45:46 +0000

Let’s see, he’s probably pushing 40 now. If he keeps ‘rioding he should by good for 1,000 jacks.

By: thefalcon123

thefalcon123 — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 20:33:59 +0000

Using Bill James Favorite Toy:

Albert has a 26% chance at 763
a 44% chance at 700 homers
a 97% (!) chance at 600 homers
a 58% chance at 3,000 hits
and a 51% chance at 2,000 RBIs

By: thefalcon123

thefalcon123 — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 20:29:55 +0000

It’s almost as if they think Bonds hit 762 homers compared to Aaron’s 755. Pure crazy talk if you ask me. We all know Major League baseball didn’t cont runs put up by people who used steroids.

By: romoscollarbone

romoscollarbone — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 19:35:12 +0000

Interesting that the Halos see Bonds as the HR record holder. Lazano should’ve fought for Hanks #.

By: cosanostra71

cosanostra71 — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 19:00:57 +0000

this is nitpicking a post that I overall agree with, but he will not be playing in “Lala land”. He plays for the Angels.

By: isujames

isujames — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 18:59:47 +0000

They gave him $$$$ only a fool would pass up on.

By: only1stantheman

only1stantheman — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 17:07:43 +0000

Well, he has averaged 40/year, so if you are right and he has 5 more productive years ≈matching his last 11(a bit of a stretch, but for the sake of arguement), then that is 200 more HR for a total of 645, and then he has 5 years to dwindle and DH… So it is definately possible, but we shall see how he fares in Lala land…

By: cowboysoldiertx

cowboysoldiertx — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 15:39:37 +0000

I amend that, maybe around 625-650.

By: cowboysoldiertx

cowboysoldiertx — Sun, 18 Dec 2011 15:38:56 +0000

I would expect to see a steep decline 5 years into this contract. He’s a HOF and 3000 is almost a given but 600 homers is prob the closest he gets to the record.