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So how bad is the Hall of Fame logjam gonna be?

Jan 16, 2012, 11:33 AM EDT


We’ve talked about the impending logjam on the Hall of Fame ballot going forward by virtue of all of the PED-associated players wading in starting next year.  The upshot: Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Sammy Sosa and others hanging around on the ballot for a long time, not getting enough support themselves while stealing support from others.

One thing some folks have worried about is this logjam giving us several years in which no one is elected, which would be bad for the Hall of Fame and, frankly, would just be stupid overall as an entire era of the game would be unrepresented.

But never fear, says Chris Jaffe of The Hardball Times: despite the potential for what he calls “the nightmare scenario” of no one being elected, there will be enough support to go around where there will be at least someone elected every year:

From the point of view of Cooperstown, though, the nightmare scenario shouldn’t happen. You’ll get at least one new candidate making it in every year. In 2016, when the glut finally subsides a little bit, Ken Griffey, Jr. should make it in, along with at least one guy from the massive backlog, most like [Frank] Thomas (if he hasn’t gone in already).

Jaffe’s Hall of Fame vote projections have been pretty solid over the past couple of years. As such, his projections here should be the first place people go when they want to talk about what’s gonna happen with the Hall of Fame ballot going forward.

  1. Old Gator - Jan 16, 2012 at 11:36 AM

    Canadians don’t have logjams – thanks to all their beaver.

    • phillieschamps2012 - Jan 16, 2012 at 11:49 AM

      Yeah. I also hear that cur68 is the greatest beaver wrestler of them all. He never has a logjam. However, I suffered one myself on the porcelain throne this morning. Now I know what Mark McGwire must feel like.

    • Jonny 5 - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:30 PM

      See, I always thought Beavers caused logjams… Hmm? Well you learn something new every day.

      • cur68 - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:46 PM

        Ok, I can’t resist: Castor canadensis canadensis do cause logjams. To be perfectly clear, I mean that giant rat causes dead, impacted foliage to create a buildup of water, thus creating considerably reduced water flow. You have to use explosives to clear some of those dams…actually I don’t know if you have to use explosives, but they sure like to blow those things up (lets get real: who wouldn’t?).

        As to what Gator’s talking about: it’s 30 below zero centigrade here today. With a wind. What else is there to do?

        As for the HOF longjam: good. The more controversy and conversation the better. Providing, in the end, those inducted are as representative as those already inducted, I have no problem with a loaded ballot featuring some of the biggest names in sports from my youth. I’ll enjoy talking about them and enjoy the debates.

      • Jonny 5 - Jan 16, 2012 at 2:48 PM


  2. rambo888 - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:04 PM

    The voting for the Hall is a joke more than one should have gone in this year

  3. goawaydog - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:14 PM

    Can anyone confirm that Bonds has retired? from all the googling I did, as of 2010 he had not. It should benefit him to hold off the voting until all the court drama has settled and also not to be lumped in with the Sosa-Clemens etc …

    • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:20 PM

      Does it matter whether he’s officially retired or not, or just played his last game?

      • paperlions - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:25 PM

        It doesn’t matter if he ever officially retires. If you haven’t played for 5 years, then you are on the ballot.

      • thekcubrats - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:27 PM

        I don’t think Rickey ever retired. In fact, if you tender him a contract with an invite…

      • goawaydog - Jan 16, 2012 at 12:31 PM

        after renewed googling looks like you may be right Chruchoftheetcetcetc. 5 years out of the game looks to be the qualifier. thanks.

    • metalhead65 - Jan 16, 2012 at 2:19 PM

      sorry to break it to you but he will always be lumped in with the rest of the cheaters who used roids. if you refuse to accept that than that is your problem but people with a brain know he did it tests or not. he admitted to taking the clear while weakly saying he did not know he was. to bad for him because he did put up hall numbers before he decided to cheat.

  4. braddavery - Jan 16, 2012 at 1:29 PM

    Why on earth would it be a “nightmare scenario” if no one was elected one year? Since when is the Hall of Fame about “having at least one player make it per-year” and not about whether the players elected actually deserve election. If no one makes it, no one makes it. So what. I know the HOF would care, but why should we.

    • 78mu - Jan 16, 2012 at 2:16 PM

      Electing no one would be bad. Electing only Morris would be the real nightmare.

    • jwbiii - Jan 16, 2012 at 2:28 PM

      The Halll of Fame draws a significant part of their revenue from induction weekend. They would like a significant revenue cut about as much as I would like a significant pay cut.

  5. tjg25 - Jan 16, 2012 at 1:40 PM

    Fuck the baseball HOF.

  6. thewhinebag - Jan 16, 2012 at 1:42 PM

    I’m waiting for the inevitable day when we learn that Griffey took steroids.

  7. ta192 - Jan 16, 2012 at 11:12 PM

    The specter of no player receiving enough to get in is truly frightening, I’m sure. Maybe they’ll borrow an idea and have the voters bricked up in some ornate building somewhere, taking vote after vote until at least one guy gets elected. They could announce success with a puff of white smoke…

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