Apr 4, 2012, 9:55 AM EDT
The only thing sillier than predictions about who wins each division several months before the season ends is judging which team is the best before any games are played. But hey, that’s never stopped me before, so let’s have a Power Ranking, shall we?
And yeah, there is that big of a gap between the AL and the NL. It’s just astounding how much better the top teams in the junior circuit are.
1. Yankees: A 97-win team with rotation problems adds a couple of really good starters. Yeah, I think that plays.
2. Rangers: The two-time defending AL champs lose their top starting pitcher but add another one who, in my view anyway, will be better. That plays too.
4. Tigers: Fielder and Cabrera are gonna be awesome to see. But there are holes in the lineup and, while still awesome, Justin Verlander can’t match 2011’s numbers again because, really, no one can do that. Right?
5. Rays: The deepest rotation in baseball means that if they have any problems — say Luke Scott is a bust and the bullpen falters — they have the chips to make some deals.
6. Red Sox: Nowadays everybody wanna talk like they got somethin’ to say, but nothin’ comes out when they move their lips, just a bunch of gibberish, and motherf***ers act like they forgot about how good this team was until September last year.
7. Phillies: Infielders on this team have a worse life expectancy than the drummer for Spinal Tap. But having Halladay, Hamels and Lee hanging around makes up for a lot of stuff. The 1990s-early 2000s Braves won division after division with dudes like Mark Lemke and Keith Lockhart in the infield. I think the Phillies will be fine.
8. Diamondbacks: Will Ian Kennedy have a repeat year? Exceedingly doubtful. But Trevor Cahill has joined up, I’m curious about an entire year of Paul Goldschmidt, Justin Upton is still awesome and I don’t think the Giants will be substantially better than they were last year. Ergo, the Dbacks.
9. Braves: If Freddie Freeman‘s spring training is any indication of how he’ll do this year the perpetual offensive problems this team has will be somewhat mitigated.
10. Giants: Whether you think this team will return to 2010 form has a lot to do with whether you think Melky Cabrera‘s 2011 season was indicative of some new normal for him and that he’ll repeat it in AT&T Park. I kinda think it was a fluke.
11. Cardinals: I’m feeling kinda shaky about this given the Carpenter
and Furcal injuries, but man, I JUST picked them to win the Central an hour ago, so I have to stick with this a bit longer, no? UPDATE: I have no idea why I thought Rafael Furcal was hurt. I haven’t slept a lot lately.
13. Blue Jays: The rotation is kind of a mess and the lineup is depending on a handful of bounceback years. But I could see this team competing and even winning the NL West or Central. Unfortunately, they play in the AL East.
14. Marlins: A bigger deal than all of their offseason additions is the return of a healthy Josh Johnson. But more than this team’s prospects, I’m curious to see if Carlos Zambrano and Ozzie Guillen can avoid their particular brand of performance art this season.
15. Reds: I’d feel better if not for the bullpen injuries, but the Reds are going to be pesky and, if things break right — or wrong for St. Louis and Milwaukee — they could take the division.
16. Nationals: Still a year away, methinks, but they’re not that far behind Atlanta and Florida. Injuries to those two teams could push Washington toward second place.
17. Indians: They’re gonna do what they always do: surprise for a nice long stretch, disappoint for a nice long stretch and finish fairly far back of the Tigers. Then next winter we’ll all talk about how they’re underrated again.
18. Rockies: Jamie Moyer is a great story, but it is telling that a 49 year-old soft-tosser made this rotation.
19. Royals: So many people’s sexy, breakout pick. Still a year — and a couple of starters – away in my view. Especially in light of the Soria and Perez injuries.
20. Pirates: A.J. Burnett, Erik Bedard and James McDonald could — if they all hit the top end of their potential — make this team a potentially dangerous one. Still, the most realistic goal here is breaking the streak of sub-.500 finishes, not going to the playoffs.
21. Dodgers: Kershaw and Kemp, then a whole lot of nothing, all mitigated by optimism about the new owners.
22. Twins: If Mauer and Morneau are both really back this will look like a really low ranking in hindsight. But they gotta show me first.
23. Athletics: It’s probably going to be more fun to watch the farm system this year — which is stocked — than the big club.
24. Padres: Same here, really. They got a lot of talent back in the Mat Latos deal.
25. Cubs: The future is pretty darn far from now. How long will Theo and Jed’s honeymoon last?
26. White Sox: On the early stages of a rebuild. There will not be any sneaky contention here.
27. Mets: The legal cloud over the team has lifted. Johan Santana appears to be healthy again. Beyond that, I’m kind of at a loss as to where to find optimism here.
28. Mariners: They’ll score more runs this year. But that’s not saying much. They should still have one of the worst offenses in baseball, even with some dramatic offensive improvement.
29. Orioles: Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: how they do will depend on young pitching taking a step forward.
30. Astros: I think they’re gonna settle in this position for the long haul.
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