Comments on: 2012 projections review: catcher

By: Jeremy T

Jeremy T — Thu, 25 Oct 2012 19:11:50 +0000

Oh wait… I guess that will come when you get to outfielders… My bad

By: Jeremy T

Jeremy T — Thu, 25 Oct 2012 19:11:15 +0000

It was a good year for players named Suzuki who switched from the west coast to the east. What was your Ichiro projection?

By: mspauto

mspauto — Thu, 25 Oct 2012 14:20:44 +0000

Who’s it gonna be for the Nats – Suzuki or Ramos?

By: delchef9

delchef9 — Thu, 25 Oct 2012 06:51:02 +0000

Great job Matt…. I even like when someone asks how someone not on you list did, your “oh him…right here…oh them gotit….blah blah… difin. cool…MATTY!!!!! You need a good job nickname…..MATTY the STATTY…

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 21:17:56 +0000

Was looking really good if not for the break.

Projection: .231/.337/.415, 16 HR, 50 R, 47 RBI, 5 SB in 381 AB
2012 stats: .240/.332/.398, 9 HR, 27 R, 26 RBI, 1 SB in 221 AB

Prorating his stats to 381 AB gives him 16 HR, 47 R and 45 RBI.

By: deaninajijic

deaninajijic — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 21:12:49 +0000

How about the Angels and Ianetta

By: stlouis1baseball

stlouis1baseball — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 17:56:21 +0000

“The stats have never really done Hanigan justice.”
Yeah really. The guy is a fine MLB Catcher. Thanks for the work.

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 16:01:58 +0000

Projection: .258/.322/.388, 13 HR, 60 R, 66 RBI, 2 SB in 484 AB
2012 stats: .235/.276/.328, 6 HR, 36 R, 43 RBI, 2 SB in 408 AB
With Oak: .218/.250/.286, 1 HR, 19 R, 18 RBI, 1 SB in 262 AB
With Was: .267/.321/.404, 5 HR, 17 R, 25 RBI, 1 SB in 146 AB

It likely did help Suzuki in Washington that this is the one year the A’s didn’t run him into the ground. In retrospect, I shouldn’t have projected him to beat his 2010 and ’11 OPSs. Still, once he got to Washington, he was the Suzuki of old.

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:56:57 +0000

Projection: .273/.359/.367, 5 HR, 32 R, 32 RBI, 0 SB in 275 AB
2012 stats: .274/.365/.338, 2 HR, 25 R, 24 RBI, 0 SB in 317 AB

The stats have never really done Hanigan justice.

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:54:15 +0000

Projection: .246/.328/.356, 7 HR, 40 R, 35 RBI, 1 SB in 362 AB
2012 stats: .257/.334/.401, 6 HR, 29 R, 29 RBI, 0 SB in 257 AB

I was surprised by just how well he hit righties this year. It didn’t make for a great line, since he was injured and he was brutal against lefties. Still, the Astros should be feeling better about him as a starter going forward.

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:50:48 +0000

Wasn’t expecting anything from him this year.

Projection: .229/.289/.329, 1 HR, 7 R, 5 RBI, 0 SB in 70 AB
2012 stats: .297/.394/.469, 8 HR, 28 R, 36 RBI, 0 SB in 192 AB

By: crali

crali — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:47:44 +0000

How did Kurt Suzuki do after the trade to the Nats? He’s so good behind the plate but it seemed like the A’s wore him down year after year until he his offensive production was severely diminished.

By: ezthinking

ezthinking — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:25:15 +0000

No, he’s a 6’4″ wuss. And it’s not Target Field, he just swings with weak wrists.

By: Kleinz 57

Kleinz 57 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:14:10 +0000

It is.

The worst part is that Mauer still gets plenty of Target Field boos and radio flack for ‘underperforming.’ Absurd.

By: mntreehugger

mntreehugger — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:13:09 +0000

“We” were too busy pissing and moaning about his contract and his inability to hit 40 homers to notice. And by “we” i mean local media and casual fans.

By: pdowdy83

pdowdy83 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 13:32:17 +0000

No offense to Ruiz but I’m not sure that anyone, even people that see him play everyday would have projected his batting average, homerun total and slugging to be that high. His previous career high was 9 homers. Before this year 2010 was the only season he eclipsed .300 and he never slugged above .447 before this year. I would say his projection was pretty solid at the time it was made.

By: stlouis1baseball

stlouis1baseball — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 13:23:30 +0000

M.P.: How about Ryan Hannigan?

By: icanspeel

icanspeel — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 13:21:06 +0000

Grandal got off to a good start while calling Petco his home. .863 OPS in 60 games is pretty good production from a catcher.

By: greymares

greymares — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 12:56:02 +0000

maybe because i see him play everyday but your projections on Carlos Ruiz baffle me.

By: dwrek5

dwrek5 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 12:39:37 +0000

Did Mauer have the best season that no one noticed? Thats a heck of a slash line.

By: stex52

stex52 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 12:39:04 +0000

What’s your take on Jason Castro for the future?

By: illogic87

illogic87 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 11:11:43 +0000

I’m very impressed with your Joe Mauer projections!

By: sisqsage

sisqsage — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 11:08:40 +0000

Rosario is a great offensive talent for the ROX and should only get better with age. But they should seriously consider moving him to another position. He had to come close to breaking a record for passed balls. He is a big defensive liability at this point at catcher.

By: proudlycanadian

proudlycanadian — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 11:03:59 +0000

By whim or intuition! Thanks for letting us into your secret. From now on I will take your projections seriously.

By: xjokerz

xjokerz — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 09:36:19 +0000

How about Yasmani Grandal?… i know its the padres but still….

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 06:19:39 +0000

The lefty killer.

Projection: .271/.306/.389, 5 HR, 28 R, 30 RBI, 0 SB in 247 AB
2012 stats: .301/.328/.471, 11 HR, 38 R, 39 RBI, 0 SB in 289 AB

By: maccm8

maccm8 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 05:27:19 +0000

How about Salvador Perez?

By: Matthew Pouliot

Matthew Pouliot — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 04:47:31 +0000

They’re all done by hand, subject entirely to my whims. Typically the best projection systems in any given year will beat me on OPS for hitters, but I do better than them at projecting playing time, runs and RBI.

By: brewcrewfan54

brewcrewfan54 — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 04:24:31 +0000

I would like to know how the projections are calculated, generally speaking. And I don’t mean that in an ass hole type of way for a change at this time of night.