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Who are these agents and executives anyway?

Oct 28, 2012, 6:14 PM EDT

Anibal Sanchez Getty Images

The following passage on a couple of free agent pitchers is from Buster Olney’s ESPN Insider column Saturday:

[Anibal] Sanchez could get anywhere from $30 million to $60 million as a free agent, some agents and executives predict, and Kyle Lohse could get a deal in the $77.5 million range, as C.J. Wilson did last winter.

Does that read completely backwards to anyone else? I’m thinking Lohse may get anywhere from $30 million-$60 million this winter, while Sanchez could well be in that $77.5 million range.

Sanchez is going to pitch next year at 29. Lohse is 34. Here are their numbers from the last three years:

Sanchez: 3.70 ERA, 109 ERA+, 526/182 K/BB ratio in 587 IP
Lohse: 3.76 ERA, 101 ERA+, 308/115 K/BB ratio in 491 1/3 IP

Lohse was the better of the two this year, but he’s the older of the two by 5 1/2 years, his peripherals aren’t very impressive and he’ll be leaving St. Louis. The history of pitchers who had their careers turned around by Dave Duncan and then left for more money is quite bleak.

It’s possible Lohse could get the bigger deal of the two, but I really doubt it. With the way he’s pitched in the postseason, Sanchez looks like the pretty clear No. 2 free agent starter behind Zack Greinke now. Lohse, Jake Peavy and Edwin Jackson are among those trailing behind him. I’m not going to include Hiroki Kuroda anywhere in that mix, since he’s just going to want a one-year deal to pitch somewhere he’s comfortable.

  1. Carl Hancock - Oct 28, 2012 at 6:37 PM

    Other teams should take a hint from the Cardinals. There’s a reason why they aren’t even going to make him an offer to Lohse despite the fact he was their most consistent pitcher over the last 2 seasons. Yes, they have a ton of pitching talent primed for the big leagues… but the truth I’d they aren’t stupid enough to overpay Lohse and other teams aren’t smart enough to do the same.

    • gibbyfan - Oct 28, 2012 at 8:11 PM

      Well SAid Carl. The Cards generally handle business pretty well, even though less so since losing Walt. The one small exception was perhaps Westbrook who maybe should have gotten just the one year extension.

  2. jayquintana - Oct 28, 2012 at 6:44 PM

    You sign Lohse for 3, maybe 4 years, but that’s it.

  3. alexo0 - Oct 28, 2012 at 6:44 PM

    Quotes from these “agents and executives” are what Olney’s career is built on.

  4. thebadguyswon - Oct 28, 2012 at 7:13 PM

    He’s just making it up. All these “journalists” do.

  5. worldseriestiger - Oct 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM

    The Royals are looking for starting pitching, you know at least one of these guys is getting a stupid looking contract

    • canoyoulie - Oct 28, 2012 at 9:37 PM

      i hope it’s sanchez, lol. c’mon dayton make it happen!

  6. schrutebeetfarms - Oct 29, 2012 at 1:36 PM

    Apparently if you’re going to be average in anything it’d be best to be average as a starting pitcher. Wow.

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