Skip to content

Angel Pagan goes from fringe regular to $40 million player

Dec 3, 2012, 4:47 PM EDT

Angel Pagan Getty Images

The Mets were strongly considering non-tendering Angel Pagan rather than pay him $5 million or so for 2012. Instead, they found a taker for him in the Giants, who sent back fellow center fielder Andres Torres and right-hander Ramon Ramirez. It proved to be a great deal for San Francisco, as Pagan proved key in the leadoff spot for the world champs. Meanwhile, the two players the Mets got in return aren’t expected back for 2013.

Pagan will be back with the Giants, of course, courtesy of the new four-year, $40 million deal he agreed to Monday. The 31-year-old’s annual salary will slightly top the $9.8 million he’s made the last three years combined.

For 2013, it seems like a worthy price. Pagan’s .288/.338/.440 line from last season matches up quite well with what he did in 2009 and ’10 before a disappointing 2011 campaign. Plus, Pagan is a fine center fielder, just a bit short of Gold Glove quality. He is a $10 million player right now.

On the other hand, it’s not at all likely that he’ll still be a $10 million player by the time 2015 and ’16 come around. At 31, Pagan should be just wrapping up his prime years now.

According to Baseball Reference, the 10 players most similar to Pagan through age 30 are Felix Jose, Roy Weatherly, Gene Moore, Alex Ochoa, Chris Singleton, Lee Maye, Johnny Grubb, Mitch Webster, Al Zarilla and Irv Noren.

Not one guy from that list was a quality regular from age 31 onwards. Grubb played eight more years and Maye and Webster lasted six more, but they were part-timers. Ochoa was all done in the majors by that age. The other nine averaged 1.7 WAR for the rest of their careers after age 31.

Perhaps that’s not the best list, though. How about this one. Pagan is one of 17 center fielders to post OPSs between .720-.780, hit fewer than 50 homers and steal more than 50 bases from ages 28-30 (Pagan had a .749 OPS, 26 HR and 98 SB from 28-30). Here’s how that group did from 31 onwards:

Matty Alou: .300/.339/.372, 100 OPS+ in 2,400 AB
Marvin Benard: .247/.290/.356, 71 OPS+ in 194 AB
Willie Davis: .288/.316/.425, 109 OPS+ in 3,534 AB
Steve Finley: .267/.333/.471, 106 OPS+ in 6,033 AB
Doug Glanville: .246/.281/.329, 60 OPS+ in 830 AB
Marquis Grissom: .264/.303/.416, 86 OPS+ in 3,817 AB
Ken Landreaux: .239/.295/.348, 78 OPS+ in 465 AB
Brian McRae: .218/.327/.360, 75 OPS+ in 403 AB
Amos Otis: .275/.339/.422, 109 OPS+ in 2,757 AB
Dode Paskert: .260/.340/.365, 107 OPS+ in 3,644 AB
Mickey Rivers: .304/.328/.392, 103 OPS+ in 1,719 AB
Burt Shotten: .260/.353/.320, 104 OPS+ in 2,045 AB
Roy Thomas: .265/.379/.319, 116 OPS+ in 2,266 AB
Milt Thompson: .256/.327/.359, 88 OPS+ in 1,731 AB
Cesar Tovar: .267/.329/.339, 93 OPS+ in 1,975 AB
Devon White: .272/.331/.435, 100 OPS+ in 3,232 AB

Now that’s a better list. I probably could have thrown out Thomas, Paskert and Shotton, all of whom played in the deadball era, but of the remaining 13, there are seven guys who remained pretty productive, depending on what you want your cutoff there to be. The Giants would certainly be pleased if Pagan aged like White.

Regardless, it may be worth paying Pagan $10 million to be a fourth or fifth outfielder in 2016 if he comes through again in 2013. Better if this contract had been a three-year deal, but at least he’s not overpaid immediately.

Latest Posts
  1. Randy Wolf opts out of his minor league contract with the Orioles

    Jul 13, 2014, 9:35 PM EDT

    Randy Wolf Randy Wolf

    Randy Wolf cleared out his locker at Triple-A Norfolk. He may be looking to join his fifth organization in 2014, having already spent time with the Mariners, Diamondbacks, Marlins, and Orioles.

  2. Huston Street replaces teammate Tyson Ross on the National League All-Star roster

    Jul 13, 2014, 8:40 PM EDT

    Huston Street Huston Street

    Huston Street is headed to the All-Star Game in Minnesota, replacing teammate Tyson Ross.

  3. Joey Gallo earns Futures Game MVP honors after leading Team USA to victory

    Jul 13, 2014, 7:48 PM EDT

    Joey Gallo, J.P. Crawford Joey Gallo, J.P. Crawford

    Thanks to Joey Gallo, Team USA earned a victory over the World team in the Futures Game on Sunday at Target Field. Gallo earned MVP honors.

  4. Video: Watch Madison Bumgarner hit his second grand slam of the season

    Jul 13, 2014, 7:10 PM EDT

    Madison Bumgarner Madison Bumgarner

    Maybe Madison Bumgarner should be in the Home Run Derby.

  5. Joey Gallo put on a show at batting practice before the Futures Game

    Jul 13, 2014, 6:15 PM EDT

    Joey Gallo, Guilder Rodriguez Joey Gallo, Guilder Rodriguez

    Joey Gallo is quickly becoming a household name, especially after the round of batting practice he had on Sunday prior to the Futures Game.

  6. Um, yeah, that’s not Arizona …

    Jul 13, 2014, 5:18 PM EDT

    futures game map

    In the program for Sunday night’s Futures Game, there’s a pretty cool map that shows the hometown of each player on the Team USA roster. Except … well … see if you can spot the mistake …

  7. Major League Baseball needs to shift the All-Star week schedule

    Jul 13, 2014, 4:01 PM EDT

    Futures Game

    One of baseball’s coolest things is about to happen, but no one will see it.

  8. Tyler Clippard, Alfredo Simon, and Tim Hudson added to National League All-Star roster

    Jul 13, 2014, 3:42 PM EDT

    all-star game logo 2014 Getty Images

    Tyler Clippard of the Nationals, Alfredo Simon of the Reds, and Tim Hudson of the Giants have been added to the National League roster for Tuesday night’s 2014 MLB All-Star Game in Minneapolis.

  9. Futures Game lineups: Team USA vs. Team World

    Jul 13, 2014, 2:55 PM EDT

    futures game hats

    Here are the starting lineups for Sunday night’s Futures Game at Target Field in Minneapolis. First pitch is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET. The game will be televised on MLB Network, with Matt Vasgersian, Sean Casey, Heidi Watney, and MLB.com prospect guru Jonathan Mayo on the call.

  10. Collin Cowgill out 4-5 weeks with broken thumb, nose

    Jul 13, 2014, 2:08 PM EDT

    collin cowgill getty Getty Images

    Angels outfielder Collin Cowgill was lifted from Saturday’s game against the Rangers after being struck by a pitch while trying to bunt in the top of the eighth inning. The ball first hit Cowgill’s right thumb and fractured it and then ricocheted off of his nose, breaking it too.

  11. Braves suspend Dan Uggla one game for being extremely tardy on Saturday in Chicago

    Jul 13, 2014, 1:20 PM EDT

    dan uggla getty Getty Images

    Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez refused to get into specific in his chat with the media before Sunday afternoon’s series finale at Wrigley Field, but second baseman Dan Uggla has officially been suspended one game without pay and David O’Brien of the Atlanta Journal Constitution hears that it was for tardiness.

  12. Cliff Lee on track to return to Phillies’ rotation July 21

    Jul 13, 2014, 12:31 PM EDT

    cliff lee shadow getty Getty Images

    Cliff Lee is on track to return to the Phillies’ starting rotation on July 21. The veteran left-hander has been out since the middle of May because of a muscle strain in his pitching elbow but could be an attractive name at this year’s trade deadline.

  13. Pirates activate Francisco Liriano from the disabled list for Sunday start against the Reds

    Jul 13, 2014, 11:43 AM EDT

    liriano getty Getty Images

    Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has been activated from the disabled list after missing a month with an oblique strain and will start an important game against the Reds on Sunday afternoon.

  14. Drew Pomeranz allows just one hit in rehab debut

    Jul 13, 2014, 10:59 AM EDT

    drew pomeranz getty Getty Images

    A’s starter Drew Pomeranz made his minor league rehab debut on Saturday night with the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats. And it was promising. The left-hander struck out seven, walked none, and yielded only one hit — a solo home run — over four strong innings.

  15. MRI shows biceps strain, no structural damage, for Nationals starter Jordan Zimmermann

    Jul 13, 2014, 10:17 AM EDT

    jordan zimmermann getty Getty Images

    An MRI taken Saturday on the right arm of Nationals starter Jordan Zimmermann showed a biceps strain but no major structural damage. He is expected to avoid the disabled list.

  16. VIDEO: Yasiel Puig ejected for second time in his career

    Jul 13, 2014, 9:32 AM EDT

    yasiel puig getty Getty Images

    Dodgers outfielder Yasiel Puig was tossed out of Saturday night’s game against the Padres in the bottom of the third inning for arguing an iffy strike call on a low and inside pitch …

  17. Settling the Score: Saturday’s results

    Jul 13, 2014, 8:48 AM EDT

    adam wainwright getty Getty Images

    The tide continues to change in the NL Central. Playing with heavy hearts in the aftermath of shortstop Jean Segura losing his nine-month-old son, the Brewers were blown out 10-2 by the visiting Cardinals on Saturday afternoon at Miller Park.

  18. Indians acquire Nick Maronde from the Angels

    Jul 12, 2014, 11:00 PM EDT

    Nick Maronde Nick Maronde

    The Indians and Angels made a small deal on Saturday, swapping a lefty reliever for cash.

  19. Fernando Rodney replaces David Price on the American League All-Star roster

    Jul 12, 2014, 10:05 PM EDT

    Fernando Rodney Fernando Rodney

    The American League has added a reliever rather than a starter with David Price giving up his spot on the roster for the All-Star Game.

  20. Play of the Day: Brian Dozier gets the out at home

    Jul 12, 2014, 9:10 PM EDT

    Brian Dozier Brian Dozier

    Brian Dozier made a nifty play at Coors Field to get an out at home plate on Saturday.

Featured video

Yanks, Cards and Reds hit with injury bug
Top 10 MLB Player Searches
  1. J. Nelson (2777)
  2. M. Tanaka (2618)
  3. C. Gonzalez (2576)
  4. A. Alcantara (2500)
  5. M. Trumbo (2468)
  1. J. Votto (2353)
  2. C. Lee (2332)
  3. B. Hamilton (2320)
  4. V. Martinez (2291)
  5. Y. Molina (2063)