Skip to content

Red Sox gear up for 85 wins with Shane Victorino in right field

Dec 4, 2012, 5:45 PM EDT

Shane Victorino AP

In looking at Shane Victorino’s future last night, I concluded that he wasn’t a bad bet to last as a quality regular for a few more years, in spite of his down 2012 season.

Still, I wouldn’t have recommended wagering $39 million on it.

That’s the gamble the Red Sox took today in committing to Victorino for his age 32-34 seasons. At $13 million per year, it’s hard to imagine him being any sort of bargain. The best-case scenario would seem to have him being worth just what the Red Sox paid for him.

On the other hand, the Red Sox may well have been able to sign B.J. Upton for $16 million per year for his age 28-32 seasons. That comes with some risk as well, but at least Upton has several prime years left and has shown tantalizing glimpses of superstar potential. Victorino’s slide last year suggested that he may be just one or two years away from becoming a fourth outfielder.

So, no, I don’t get this deal. The Red Sox won 69 games last year behind three 90-win clubs in the AL East and a Toronto team that has taken a huge step forward this winter. They’re not a slightly above average right fielder and a quality first baseman away from returning to the postseason. It would have been worth rolling the dice with Upton or maybe even Josh Hamilton if his market didn’t play out as hoped, but barring that, they could have given Ryan Kalish a try and then reevaluated the position next winter.

In the last month, the Red Sox have committed multiyear deals to Victorino, Mike Napoli, Jonny Gomes and David Ross to the tune of $34 million per season. They’re probably going to spend another $12 million or so per season on a starting pitcher from the Ryan Dempster genre. That they’re making the team better is a given. That they’re making it better enough to actually go anywhere in 2013 seems pretty unlikely.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: Rockies trade Troy Tulowitzki to Blue Jays for Jose Reyes and prospects

    Jul 28, 2015, 12:34 AM EDT

    tulowitzki getty Getty Images

    The Blue Jays have reportedly pulled off a stunner, acquiring Troy Tulowitzki from the Rockies.

  2. Report: The Dodgers would move Yasiel Puig “in the right deal”

    Jul 27, 2015, 11:27 PM EDT

    Yasiel Puig AP

    We know that the Dodgers are likely to add a pitcher or two before Friday’s non-waiver trade deadline, but could they also deal Yasiel Puig in the process?

  3. Report: The Nationals are “hottest” on Padres closer Craig Kimbrel

    Jul 27, 2015, 10:50 PM EDT

    Craig Kimbrel Getty Images

    The Nationals were reportedly looking at a reunion with Tyler Clippard before the Athletics traded him to the Mets tonight, but there’s a chance they could do something a lot bigger to strengthen the back-end of their bullpen.

  4. Alex Rodriguez celebrates 40th birthday with a home run

    Jul 27, 2015, 10:27 PM EDT

    ARLINGTON, TX - JULY 27:  Alex Rodriguez #13 of the New York Yankees celebrates with Brian McCann #34 of the New York Yankees after hitting a solo home run against the Texas Rangers in the top of the sixth inning at Globe Life Park in Arlington on July 27, 2015 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images) Getty Images

    Yankees slugger Alex Rodriguez rang in his 40th birthday tonight by doing exactly what he’s been doing for much of the past 20 years.

  5. Video: Nick Markakis receives standing ovation in his return to Baltimore

    Jul 27, 2015, 10:01 PM EDT

    BALTIMORE, MD - JULY 27: Nick Markakis #22 of the Atlanta Braves acknowledges the crowd before his at bat in the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 27, 2015 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) Getty Images

    Markakis played his first nine seasons in the majors with the Orioles before signing a four-year, $44 million contract with the Braves last December.

  6. Report: The Astros are “making a big push” for Cole Hamels

    Jul 27, 2015, 9:22 PM EDT

    CHICAGO, IL - JULY 25:  on July 25, 2015 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Cole Hamels #35 of the Philadelphia Phillies pitched a no hitter. The Philliess won 5-0. (Photo by David Banks/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Getty Images

    The Astros acquired Scott Kazmir from the Athletics last week, but they are still thinking big as they make a push for the postseason.

  7. Shawn Tolleson avoids injury after collision with Keone Kela during batting practice

    Jul 27, 2015, 8:49 PM EDT

    ARLINGTON, TX - JULY 07: Shawn Tolleson #37 of the Texas Rangers pitches in the ninth inning during a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Globe Life Park in Arlington on July 7, 2015 in Arlington, Texas. The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Texas Rangers 4-2.  (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images) Getty Images

    Tolleson is available for tonight’s game against the Yankees.

  8. The Tigers are moving Shane Greene and his 6.72 ERA to the bullpen

    Jul 27, 2015, 8:01 PM EDT

    MINNEAPOLIS, MN - JULY 12: Shane Greene #61 of the Detroit Tigers delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on July 12, 2015 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) Getty Images

    Greene’s 6.72 ERA is the highest among all MLB pitchers with at least 80 innings pitched.

  9. Jered Weaver to make minor league rehab start Thursday

    Jul 27, 2015, 7:08 PM EDT

    OAKLAND, CA - JUNE 20:  Manager Mike Scioscia #14 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim takes the ball from pitcher Jered Weaver #36, taking him out of the game against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the sixth inning at O.co Coliseum on June 20, 2015 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) Getty Images

    Weaver has been out since July 20 with left hip inflammation.

  10. Mets acquire Tyler Clippard from the Athletics

    Jul 27, 2015, 6:21 PM EDT

    Tyler Clippard A's Getty Images

    Clippard and Jeurys Familia should give the Mets a potent late-inning combo.

  11. Angels acquire Shane Victorino from Red Sox

    Jul 27, 2015, 6:14 PM EDT

    Shane Victorino Getty Images

    Hamstring and calf injuries have limited Victorino to just 33 games this season.

  12. The Diamondbacks have expressed interest in Cole Hamels

    Jul 27, 2015, 5:41 PM EDT

    Cole Hamels Getty Images

    For Hamels to approve a trade there, however, the expression of interest would have to be mutual.

  13. Stephen Strasburg is ready for a rehab assignment

    Jul 27, 2015, 3:04 PM EDT

    stephen strasburg getty Getty Images

    Strasburg is coming back from a strained oblique muscle.

  14. The Trade Deadline in the Social Media Age: Rajai Davis just followed a bunch of Cardinals people

    Jul 27, 2015, 2:45 PM EDT

    Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals AP

    Could be a prank. Part of me actually hopes it is because it’d be hilarious. But it could just be a new way of breakin’ a scoop.

  15. Dodger Stadium is the most vegetarian-friendly ballpark in the majors

    Jul 27, 2015, 1:57 PM EDT

    Crop of vegetables. Potatoes, tomatoes, peppers, eggplant and other vegetables.

    AT&T Park was tops last year. Maybe those Soylent Green burgers they’re noted for aren’t as vegetarian-friendly as we thought?

  16. Giants set to get Norichika Aoki back from fractured fibula

    Jul 27, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT

    Nori Aoki Getty Images

    He was having a fantastic first half before the injury.

Top 10 MLB Player Searches
  1. A. Rodriguez (4208)
  2. K. Schwarber (3715)
  3. J. Cueto (3710)
  4. M. Trout (3195)
  5. M. Conforto (3094)
  1. S. Kazmir (3075)
  2. C. Hamels (2964)
  3. J. Upton (2954)
  4. D. Price (2946)
  5. G. Stanton (2682)