They’re replacing Delmon Young (-1.2 WAR) with Victor Martinez (2.9 WAR in 2011), Ryan Raburn (-2.0 WAR) with a full season of Omar Infante (2.3 WAR) and Brennan Boesch (-1.4 WAR) with Torii Hunter (5.5 WAR).

Add it all up, and that’s something like 15 games added to an 88-win team based on an admittedly small sample size, blunt-object usage of WAR and some assumptions about how VMart and Torii will perform in 2013. So while I don’t necessarily think that the Tigers are going to win 100 games, I think Buster’s not too far off the mark in how much the Tigers have improved themselves simply by eliminating the gaping rally-killer holes in their offense.

I suppose it is reasonable to think that of all 30 teams Detroit might be in the best position to do it, but if I were betting I would want better than 12-1 odds. Olney says if those 4 pitchers combine for 125 starts the Tigers “will” win 100 games. That is silly. He might have said if those 4 are healthy, and everyone plays up to expectations, they are the favorites to win the division. He might have said they have the best chance of the 30 teams to win 100 if everything falls right. But he doesn’t. He simply posits 100 wins as a probability if those 4 pitchers start 125 times total. That is never a probability.

Which kind of lends credence to that caveat “if they mae 125 starts” they’ll win 100…since they’d only need to go 12-10 in that extra 22 of them.

“Sport writers make predictions that fail.”
Bravo again, you’re a regular Oracle.

GAHH, I DID RESPOND TO THE 2012 PREDICTION! “Here’s my response to Onley’s orginal post: The Tigers won 88 games last year. Those pitchers started 103 of them. They should have upgrades at DH and right field (though Tori Hunter is turning 37!). It is pretty unlikely they will win 100 games. He said they *will*, this is silly.” END QUOTE!

Jesus fucking Christ, this has been like debating a Dr. Suess character.

Please consider this my resignation from the conversation I haven’t the time for foolishness

Plus, three 100-win teams in the past five seasons is actually remarkable. It’s not like anyone expects four or five 100-win teams.

Holy shit dude, are you punking me right now? You commented on my post, replied “But please tell me how this one is “silly and completely illogical”. I hope you have more than “he was wrong 5 years ago”, which, given the context, sure as seemed like you were talking about my post. I also pointed out that while people fail at predictions, this one was incredibly stupid. NOPE. Apparently you were talking about the original post, completely ignoring the comment of mine *you posted in response to*.

You understand how this is frustrating…right? It’s like debating with a child with a severe case of ADD. I can only read the words you type out. Since you are clearly incapable of formatting your thoughts properly on the screen, it makes it kind of hard to understand.

Here’s my response to Onley’s orginal post: The Tigers won 88 games last year. Those pitchers started 103 of them. They should have upgrades at DH and right field (though Tori Hunter is turning 37!). It is pretty unlikely they will win 100 games. He said they *will*, this is silly.