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Adam Wainwright’s deal announced: he gets a no-trade clause

Mar 28, 2013, 11:31 AM EDT

Adam Wainwright Reuters Reuters

The Cardinals officially announced Adam Wainwright‘s new deal. As reported last night, Wainwright gets a five-year, $97.5 million contract. And a kicker that wasn’t reported: a no-trade clause.

The no-trade clause is not as risk in Wainwright’s case as it usually is because it’s really only meaningful for two of those five years. After 2014 Wainwright will achieve 10/5 status, meaning that he’s been in the league for ten years overall and with his current team for five years or more. Once that happens he has an automatic blanket no-trade clause pursuant to the Collective Bargaining Agreement.

Wainwright, 31, posted a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 184/52 K/BB ratio across 198 2/3 innings in 2012. Now, one more year removed from Tommy John reconstructive elbow surgery surgery, he feels like someone poised for a big year.

  1. illcomm - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:37 AM

    20 mil per for a 4.00 era. lol

    • spudchukar - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:44 AM

      If he had posted a lifetime 4.00 ERA it would make your comment meaningful, but knowing his 2012 campaign, came after an abbreviated TJ recovery year, and the three previous years only eclipsed by Halladay in the NL, it makes you response a knee-jerk inanity.

      • spudchukar - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:45 AM

        …er, your response.

    • carbydrash - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:53 AM

      2012: 8.3 K, 2.4 BB, 0.7 HR, 3.94 ERA,
      2010: 8.3 K, 2.2 BB, 0.6 HR, 2.42 ERA,
      2009: 8.2 K, 2.5 BB, 0.7 HR, 2.63 ERA,

      So, he strikes out the same number of guys, walks the same number of guys and gives up the same number of home runs…but his ERA is a run and a half higher.

      This is what we call bad luck with a pitcher. The way I look at it? In his first year back from Tommy John, he was basically the same dude, just with worst luck stranding runners and a higher BABIP. Awesome!

      • spudchukar - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:16 PM

        It wasn’t just luck. He didn’t have the same fastball. He challenged hitters, like always, and could put away hitters with his cutter or outstanding curve, but in between he got knocked around some. But to suggest hitters and teams were just more fortunate against him in 2012, as a rational for his run and half increase in ERA is inaccurate. Not all batted balls are alike. Anyone who saw him on a regular basis knows he “wasn’t the same dude”, especially early, with a few major hiccups later.

        Is he likely to post 2009-2010 numbers in 2013 another year out from TJ, yes, but this is how one can fool yourself with selected statistics.

      • carbydrash - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:18 PM

        I love how people pretend that Voros McCracken’s work didn’t exist or there isn’t ample evidence that has repeadetly shown that pitchers have little control over anything other than Ks, BBs and HR.

        Was he as good? Probably not. Was he a run and a half worse? Absolutely not. I urge you sir, please read even the tiniest bit about of the mass amounts that have been written about pitchers and balls in play.

      • spudchukar - Mar 28, 2013 at 1:11 PM

        I love it how people pretend that a lifetime of playing, watching, following, reading, conversing, and analyzing the game I love, and learn more about each year, can be dissed by of follower of a meaningful, but controversial, statistical maven who developed theory that championed the astonishing (to him, I guess, and others who had for some reason never contemplated the notion) idea that sometimes a pitcher’s performance is outside his control.

        More recently work by Wright, Birnbaum, Blau, and especially Tippett has brought some of his conclusions into questions, causing modification in the original writings, some by Voros himself, some by his detractors.

        Most commonly known as DIPS, the hypothesis makes the unfortunate assumption that all batted balls are alike, one that any elementary school infielder or outfielder would dismiss outright as he pointed out his/her most recent bruise. Attempts have been made to make adjustments, but certain pitchers, particularly those who are not strikeout artists, but are consistently effective illustrate the holes in the theory.

        His work which only surfaced in 1999, does make the salient point that older statistics, often cited by certain analysts were skewed. Unfortunately, a leap was then made that those who observe a performers play on a daily basis are blinded by these less than stellar stats, and make most of their decisions based on them, which is comic.

        All batted balls are not the same, and those coming off the bats of Wainwright’s foes were consistently struck with more force, more squarely and resulted in justified success.

      • paperlions - Mar 28, 2013 at 1:28 PM

        If you didn’t read it, then it must not exist….never mind that MCCracken’s realization and subsequent analyses are generally considered to be the biggest breakthrough in baseball understanding in the last 30 years.

      • paperlions - Mar 28, 2013 at 1:35 PM

        …and using the argument that understanding is not perfect is no reason to ignore the level of understanding that currently exists.

      • spudchukar - Mar 28, 2013 at 2:25 PM

        Sorry PL, but here is where your argument falls apart. First, let’s distinguish between awards, and player evaluation and procurement. Many awards were and still are unjustly made, and plenty of times this was the results of voters relying on antiquated and poorly developed statistics. Batting averages, wins, and errors were highly overvalued, and resulted in numerous misguided champion recognition.

        But somewhere down the line a false equivalency was established. Occasionally it was correct but not to the degree that it was castigated for. Somehow, those professionals whose job it was to evaluate players, got tossed into the same mix as sports writers, fans, etc who were fooled by the older statistics. Many, people in Baseball paid little attention to the over glorified stats and subsequent awards and continued to make their judgments primarily due to the naked eye.

        Knowledgeable, unbiased (as much as is possible), assessments by observation is still the preferred method of evaluation. Ask yourself, what would be their alternative motive? So Sabermetrics is much more valuable for player comparison, award designation, and quick guides that stats offer.

        The educated eye doesn’t care about wins, batting average, or fielding percentage. That eye knows when a pitcher pitches a game that either does or does not deserve the win designation. The eye recognizes if a guy has a “good eye”, is a tough out, or is a mistake hitter. The eye knows when an infielder makes an adjustment on a bad hop, reads the ball off the bat well resulting in better range, or makes an ill-advised throw.

        The equation of the “eye” with shoddy statistics, is a false analogy, and one that sabermetric followers often make.

    • stevequinn - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:24 PM

      He’s finished in the top 3 of Cy Young voting 3 times in the past 5 years. History shows that most pitchers returning from TJ surgery regain their form and in many cases, find their velocity increased.

      This was a smart move by the Cardinals. Cardinal management doesn’t make stupid decisions as evidenced by their perennial winning records. Playoffs 9 times since 2000 with 3 WS appearances and 2 World Championships. Take the Yankees out of the equation and the Cardinals are the most dominant team in MLB.

  2. okwhitefalcon - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:38 AM

    Audio of the Wainwright presser can be heard here:

    It was kinda like an Oscar acceptance speech except Waino’s was funny, heartfelt and no one was rushing him along with background music.

  3. gibbyfan - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:46 AM

    As I posted last night I was hoping this would not be the case. I was hoping that if certain conditions arose the cards would have the very important option to make a trade –It might have been that we found ourselves with a ton of young pitching talent and could afford to trade him to fill a need—or maybe it if it didnt work out too well losses could have been cut–IMHO–very bad move which will only prove correct if at 31 year old man stays healthy and pitches really well for 6 years –what’ s the probability???????

    • stlsportsfan84 - Mar 28, 2013 at 4:08 PM

      He will be a 10-5 guy after next year anyways, the no-trade is irrelevant unless you were trading him next offseason.

  4. illcomm - Mar 28, 2013 at 11:52 AM

    30 plus age. year removed from tommy john. 4.00 era. this does not equal 20 mil per period. just a dumb move. yes halladay lee and hamels are paid too much as well.

    • carbydrash - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:15 PM

      Using FanGraphs free-agent value thingy:

      Roy Halladay has earned $55 million so far with the Phillies
      Roy Halladay has been work $71 million to the Phillies

    • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:18 PM

      He’s never had a 4.00 ERA, why do you keep bringing this up? His ERA last year was 3.94 or a 97 ERA+, so a year removed from TJ surgery, when he wasn’t stranding runners* as well as he usually does, was only 3% worse than league average. But let’s ignore all the other years when he was 19%, 33%, 51%, and 61% better than league average in run prevention.

      *LOB% last three years – 80.4%, 79.1%, 67.8%

  5. johnstjc - Mar 28, 2013 at 12:50 PM

    brandon league makes 8 million a year to be an awful closer…wainright was getting this contract from someone

  6. historiophiliac - Mar 28, 2013 at 1:50 PM

    Wow, I went to the dentist and everyone decided to turn shitty. Have a nice day.

    • stex52 - Mar 28, 2013 at 2:08 PM

      Have you noticed that anytime someone starts a thread with “lol” or “lmfao” it seems to have two effects.

      1. The commenter is frequently an idiot. Which is more of a cause than an effect.

      2. Everyone on the thread gets grumpier.

      I would like a “lmfao” filter on my computer. Maybe even more than an edit function.

    • stlouis1baseball - Mar 28, 2013 at 4:33 PM

      After going to the Dentist…it should be you who turned shitty.

      • historiophiliac - Mar 28, 2013 at 4:35 PM

        Why? My dentist is cute and smells gooood.

  7. coryfor3 - Mar 28, 2013 at 3:03 PM

    This would be a great deal for the Cardinals if he was three years younger. In about 3 years, I suspect the last two years on the deal will be a bit of an albatross.

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