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Believe it or not the Twins’ rotation has gotten even worse

May 23, 2013, 3:15 PM EDT

Rick Anderson, Ron Gardenhire AP

Remember all those offseason quotes from general manager Terry Ryan about how the Twins were focused on improving last season’s terrible starting rotation?

Their actual moves didn’t quite match the talk, as they signed Kevin Corrreia (who’s been decent) and Mike Pelfrey (who’s been awful) and traded for Vance Worley (who went from Opening Day starter to Triple-A in two months).

And the end result has somehow been even worse.

Last season Twins starters averaged 5.4 innings per start with a 5.40 ERA. This season Twins starters have averaged 5.2 innings per start with a 5.69 ERA. And not only are they giving up more runs in fewer innings, the already abysmal strikeout rate is down from 5.5 to 4.2 per nine innings and the opponents’ batting average is up from .287 to .330.

YEAR    IP/G      ERA    SO/9    BB/9    HR/9      GB%     OAVG
2012     5.4     5.40     5.5     2.9     1.4     45.3     .287
2013     5.2     5.69     4.2     2.2     1.3     45.4     .330

Numbers that hideous usually mean things can’t help but improve, but then again that seemed likely to be true after last year’s debacle and yet here we are. More than a quarter of the way through the season Twins starters have recorded 16 outs per game while allowing nearly six runs per nine innings and opponents have hit .330 off them. I’d hate to see how unspeakably bad the rotation would be if improving it hadn’t been the supposed focus of the offseason.

  1. sbuchanan66 - May 23, 2013 at 3:20 PM

    Fire Terry Ryan….he’s doing a terrible job.

    • billyboots - May 24, 2013 at 10:09 AM

      No, Rick Anderson is the one who really needs to go. The only reason he has lasted this long is because he is Gardy’s best buddy.

  2. jsally430 - May 23, 2013 at 3:28 PM

    look at the minor leagues and think again

    • tycobbfromfangraphs - May 23, 2013 at 3:37 PM

      Kyle Gibson might be a solid #3, after that not too much in the ways of project-able pitching. Daniel Bard’s lil brother? Who may or may not be a starter? I’m confused by your statement.

      • tycobbfromfangraphs - May 23, 2013 at 3:39 PM

        Oh yes Berrios, legit prospect

      • kirkmack - May 23, 2013 at 3:50 PM

        Alex Meyer and Trevor May are both in most top 10 rankings for Twins prospects as well as the top 100 overall rankings. Both are AA or above.

      • tycobbfromfangraphs - May 23, 2013 at 3:58 PM

        Neither make Baseball America’s Top 10 for Twin Prospects. I actually own former National now Twin Alex Meyer in my dynasty. I don’t think many see him anything more than a #4 at best. As for May, Fangraphs has him as the Twins #12 and much of that is due to him being highly touted at one point but still failing in the control dept.
        You’re talking about guys that are most likely #4/#5 type pitchers, which is why the Nationals and Phillies were willing to include them in trades to the Twins.

      • raybrower - May 23, 2013 at 3:50 PM

        The Twins system is really, really strong. You list Gibson but here’s also Meyer, May, Berrios, Baxendale who are all interesting. Also, the bats are the best in the minors.

        So jsally was probably proposing that Terry Ryan has actually done a good job, just that it hasn’t shown with the big league club.

      • tycobbfromfangraphs - May 23, 2013 at 4:06 PM

        The bats are great, LOVE the bats, but only Berrios gets my heart rate going. Like I said, Meyers & May are not considered even #2 type of potential starters. Gibson might be a 3, might be a 2, might continue to have injury problems to go with that wicked slider.

  3. Ben - May 23, 2013 at 3:32 PM

    It’s miraculous their ERA isn’t worse with that peripheral collapse.

  4. brewcrewfan54 - May 23, 2013 at 3:41 PM

    All you have to do is change Twins to Brewers and you can get 2 stories out of this one.

    • tuberippin - May 23, 2013 at 11:33 PM

      Don’t forget those Astros. That rotation….*holds back vomit*

      • brewcrewfan54 - May 24, 2013 at 12:20 AM

        Good point. So its a 3 for 1.

  5. stex52 - May 23, 2013 at 3:45 PM

    And Detroit’s in town. That won’t be pretty.

  6. chill1184 - May 23, 2013 at 4:26 PM


  7. mazblast - May 23, 2013 at 4:46 PM

    In the fantasy baseball quest for wins, strikeouts, etc., one goes seemingly to the ends of the earth, looking for that one guy who will at least help and not hurt. I even look at Rockies pitchers. I even look at Marlins pitchers.

    Twins–No. I’ve finally given up on them. Too many years of mediocre-at-best free agents, trades for guys who are #5s at best, and low-ceiling pitch-to-contact farm players. Too many guys starting in the bigs who should be pitching middle relief at AA.

    This is a franchise that seriously needs change either in how it evaluates and develops pitchers, or in those who run the organization.

  8. moogro - May 23, 2013 at 4:52 PM

    I took a few years, but Gardy finally put Mauer in the 2 hole. In a few years, they’ll get around to the pitching.

    • Jeremiah Graves - May 23, 2013 at 9:54 PM

      I’ve been screaming for that move for years. It’s a shame we didn’t do that anywhere during the competitive years, it could have made a big difference in shuffling up some of those lineups.

  9. unclemosesgreen - May 23, 2013 at 7:01 PM

    It’s no coincidence that they got one look at the new guys in spring training and immediately stopped talking about “pitching to contact.”

  10. billyboots - May 24, 2013 at 10:08 AM

    Time to call Pavano and get the ‘stache back in town.

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