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Adam Dunn ties Billy Williams with 426th career home run

Jun 23, 2013, 9:00 PM EDT

Adam Dunn AP AP

Adam Dunn, for the most part, would like to forget the past three years. Since signing a four-year, $56 million contract with the White Sox after the 2010 season, he has posted a paltry .707 OPS over 1,427 plate appearances. His 2011 season, in which he posted a .569 OPS, was one of the worst in baseball history. This year, he is hitting just .193 with a sub-.300 on-base percentage.

However, Dunn can still rack up home runs with the best of them. He hit his 20th homer of the season this afternoon off of James Shields, a two-run blast in the third inning that bolstered his team’s lead to 4-0. It was the 426th homer of his career, tying him with Billy Williams for 46th all-time. Over 650 PA, he is on pace for 45 home runs, which would give him 451 at season’s end. That would move him up to 36th all-time ahead of Jeff Bagwell and Vladimir Guerrero at 449 and just behind Carl Yastrzemski at 452. From there, he would be on pace to join the 500-homer club some time in 2015.

  1. tfbuckfutter - Jun 23, 2013 at 9:10 PM

    Just looking at his stats for 2011.

    110 hits, 41 HRs, and 19 2Bs?

    Has anyone, with at least 500 ABs, ever had 37% of their hits go for HRs, or 55% of their hits be for extra bases?

    McGwire’s last 2 seasons were HR crazy but he didn’t have nearly as many ABs.

    • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Jun 23, 2013 at 10:46 PM

      Rob Deer in ’96, granted it was 9 hits and 4 HR. Over a full season in 92 he had 32 HR, 1 3B and 20 2B out of 97 hits. Not sure if you’ll find anyone at Dunn’s numbers though.

  2. Gordon - Jun 23, 2013 at 9:51 PM

    Bum

  3. watchfullhose - Jun 23, 2013 at 10:01 PM

    That’s some high caliber company…but Adam Dunn is no HOFer.

    • aceshigh11 - Jun 23, 2013 at 10:57 PM

      Certainly not.

      He’s a masher, that’s all.

  4. hojo20 - Jun 23, 2013 at 11:25 PM

    If he reaches 500 HR, I will look forward to his speech in Cooperstown.

  5. vincentbojackson - Jun 23, 2013 at 11:35 PM

    Dunn’s basically a beer league softball goon that has somehow stuck around in the bigs drawing five-tool money as a one tool player.

    He’s a strikeout machine that swings from his heals and occasionally hits a 500 ft. solo home run in a 5 run loss.

    It’s a crime to even mention the guy with Yaz.

  6. jlovenotjlo - Jun 24, 2013 at 1:56 AM

    Hitting 426 home runs does not mean one occasionally hits home runs while his team his way down.

    More importantly, however, you’re forgetting that Dunn is also a walk machine, helping to at least partially offset his K rate. He is always at or very near the top of the MLB in pitches per PA, I should also note.

    As a White Sox fan, I pretty much will always dislike him because of 2011. But bums don’t hit 426 (and counting) home runs in the bigs.

  7. jayscarpa - Jun 24, 2013 at 7:38 AM

    Billy Williams could really hit. Raked in Strat-O-Matic also.

  8. cohnjusack - Jun 24, 2013 at 9:38 AM

    I think Adam Dunn will be the first 500 home run hitter that 99% of people will agree is not a HOFer.

    The lowest WAR of any member of the 500 home run club is Sammy Sosa as 58.4. That’s still higher than Willie Stargell, Joe Medwick, Enos Slaughter, Lou Brock, Ralph Kiner, Whitey Ford, Early Winn and many, many others. If it weren’t for the steroids controversy, I believe ever eligible member of the 500 home run club with either be in the hall or getting over 50% of the vote with some vigorous debate.

    Adam Dunn’s WAR? 16.2. And it doesn’t seem as if it’s going to go much higher. Who else has a similiar WAR? I don’t know, BBR’s leaderboard only lists the top 1000, stopping at Jose Offerman’s 16.9 WAR.

    note: I do think WAR must undervalue Dunn some, only because I cannot possibly imagine any player, even one as historically awful with the glove as Dunn, could be worth -5 *wins* on defense as Dunn was in *2009 alone*. But still…

  9. jm91rs - Jun 24, 2013 at 10:36 AM

    There are people here in Cincinnati that see his home runs and wish he were still a Red. He drove me crazy, showing up out of shape every year (until he was a free agent) and swinging for the fences on every pitch. By all accounts he was a locker room problem too, but that’s probably just because he was there so long and felt like it was his team. People love the home run a little too much sometimes.

    • sportsfan18 - Jun 24, 2013 at 1:11 PM

      I only want to respond to your comment about him swinging for the fences on every pitch. Adam Dunn has an above average on base percentage. His career on base percentage is well ahead of Robinson Cano of the Yankees, higher than Paul Konerko, higher than Carlos Beltran, higher than Victor Martinez, higher than Evan Longoria, higher than Kirby Puckett, higher than Roberto Clemente, higher than Don Mattingly.

      And way higher than the current National League batting average leader Yadier Molina (who is in 859th place all time in MLB history for on base percentage while Adam Dunn is currently in 315th place all time in MLB history for on base percentage.

      Dunn walked over 100 times in 7 out of 8 yrs.

      Dunn did NOT just swing at every pitch.

      He is currently in 56th place on the all time MLB walks list. In only his 13th season he is in 56th place. Craig Biggio has fewer career walks than Dunn and he played 20 yrs.

      Cal Ripken played 21 yrs (and as you probably know basically played every game) and he has less career walks than Dunn does in 13 yrs.

      Craig Nettles and Harold Baines each played 22 yrs and have fewer walks than Dunn does in 13 yrs.

      And I’ll finish with this. Albert Puljos has slowed down the past few yrs, but his first 10 yrs were out of this world good. Albert is in his 13th yr and he is behind the number of career walks Dunn has and won’t catch him this year. Dunn has more walks this year than Albert in way fewer at bats.

      So it’s inaccurate to say that all Dunn does is swing for the fences on every pitch. He takes a lot of pitches. He has a much better batting eye than oh so many other baseball players, even great ones who are in the hall of fame.

      • stlouis1baseball - Jun 24, 2013 at 4:24 PM

        Great post 18! And will all those additional pitches he see’s…you would think he would have far more plate discipline from a strikeout perspective. Head scratching!

  10. jk55299 - Jun 24, 2013 at 2:29 PM

    I think he should be in the HR derby.

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