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This hasn’t been one of Robinson Cano’s better days

Jul 23, 2013, 2:44 PM EST

Robinson Cano Reuters

Robinson Cano is aiming for one of the biggest contracts in baseball history as a free agent this winter, and it’s safe to say he’ll end up a very, very wealthy man. Still, two pieces of news today haven’t helped his cause at all.

Most will point to Dustin Pedroia‘s seemingly under-market seven-year, $100 million extension with the Red Sox as a problem for Cano. Since Pedroia was already under control for 2014 and ’15, the new contract essentially amounts to a six-year extension worth $15 million per year, which is about half as much annually as Cano is going to be gunning for in a few months. Being that Pedroia is a $20 million-$25 million player right now, it seems like quite a bargain.

Personally, I don’t think Pedroia’s deal has any bearing on Cano’s situation. The two are comparable players, but their situations weren’t at all alike. The biggest factor here is that Pedroia was already under control for two more years; the Red Sox had little reason to pay him market value to get a deal done now. And regardless of whether a Pedroia extension could be worked out, the Red Sox weren’t going to be suitors for Cano this winter.

No, the potentially much bigger problem for Cano’s camp is that the Dodgers have reportedly signed Cuban infielder Alexander Guerrero to a seven-year, $32 million contract, likely to play second base. The Dodgers are, right now, the richest team in baseball and they presented Cano with the most attractive alternative to the Yankees in free agency this winter. Of course, they still might; the Dodgers are so loaded that they could still sign Guerrero and make a huge bid for Cano later. After all, they didn’t let the $42 million Yasiel Puig signing prevent them from taking on Carl Crawford‘s contract last year. But their desire for a second baseman will hinge on how Guerrero looks these next two months. Maybe he’ll be impressive enough defensively to warrant a move back to shortstop.

There’s certainly no reason to cry for Cano. Even if he can’t play the Dodgers off the Yankees, he’ll still get $25 million per year. But his hopes of a $200 million deal may hinge on another team stepping up, and typical big spenders like the Red Sox, Rangers, Angels, Tigers and Phillies could all sit this one out.

  1. sabathiawouldbegoodattheeighthtoo - Jul 23, 2013 at 2:48 PM

    Jay-Z has his work cut out for him.

    • genericcommenter - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:15 PM

      He’s going to have his compensation tied to workout bonuses.

      • mirmz - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:41 PM

        Well done.

    • 18thstreet - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:15 PM

      Why wouldn’t the Phillies pursue Cano? And couldn’t Guerrero be asked to move to third, allowing the Dodgers to sign Cano at second?

      • chadjones27 - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:33 PM

        Because they only pay pitchers $25 million per year

      • 18thstreet - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:43 PM

        Ryan Howard can pitch?

    • fanofevilempire - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:09 PM

      He is probably going to get 175 million, not to bad.

    • Mark - Jul 23, 2013 at 5:48 PM

      99 problems but a contract negotiation ain’t one.

  2. number42is1 - Jul 23, 2013 at 2:53 PM

    at $25 per for the 8-10 yrs he wants the Yanks should let him walk and get a pick or trade him. the latter is 95% not going to happen.

  3. Alex K - Jul 23, 2013 at 2:56 PM

    Couldn’t they just put Guerrero at 3rd? It’s not like they have anything there, either. They seem committed to Hanley at SS.

  4. El Bravo - Jul 23, 2013 at 2:59 PM

    “Scott Boras you over baby, Robinson Cano you comin’ with me!”

  5. jrbdmb - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:00 PM

    I don’t think there is anyone in MLB (save perhaps for Trout) who is currently a $25M player. (Miggy is right now, but I wouldn’t extend him for 10 years at that price.)

    If you think Pedroia is a $20-25M player, then Cano is worth $30M a year and Miggy / Trout are worth $50M / year.

    • number42is1 - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:04 PM

      you think a guy that has been in the league for less than two seasons is a $25 million player?

      • jrbdmb - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:09 PM

        Well, let’s say if I was forced at gunpoint to give either Cano or Trout a $25M / 10 year contract, I would give it to Trout without hesitation.

      • Alex K - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:10 PM

        100%. All the MLB info we have on Trout says that he is either the best or second best player in baseball. Plus, he’s 21 so he has a pretty good chance to hold this level.

      • number42is1 - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:14 PM

        that is a terrible comparison. obviously no one should be giving Cano a 10 yr deal but yea… Trout is not a $25 million dollar player. i mean.. no one is really but give the kid some more time before you say that he’s the greatest thing since sliced bread.

      • 18thstreet - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:17 PM

        A player’s peak years are from, what 24 to 29? I’d rather pay Trout for his next 10 years than Cano for his next 10.

      • Liam - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:23 PM

        According to the link below, in the 2011 offseason, one WAR cost 4.5 million on the free agent market, so a 25 million dollar player needs to be about a 5.6 WAR player to justify the salary. Mike Trout was worth 10 in his first season and already over 6 this year. And, the way baseball is going, wins are only going to get more expensive on the FA market. Personally, I’d give Trout 10 years at 25 million without much hesitation.

        http://baseballmusings.com/?p=81160

      • rathipon - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:26 PM

        Trout is under team control for a good number of years. So if the Angels were to sign him to a long term deal, that would have to be factored into the equation. He would end up signing below market, similar to Pedroia, because the Angels would have no incentive to sign him at market prices. They may as well get some cheap years out of him and then bid like everyone else once he hits free agency. So no, he is not a 25 million dollar player yet.

  6. rickdobrydney - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:00 PM

    All of the above very tidily defines why I am not NEARLY the baseball fan I was years ago. Ultimately , who CARES about these multi-millionaires and how much freaking money they will be making in the year 2021, for God’s sake ….and how much one is making compared to someone else, and how the new contract doesnt even kick in for 3 years. My GOD. Time to focus on the local minor league team. Because these over-paid , injury-prone, under -achieving guys are making it very hard to watch games with any sense of loyalty or heart. These escalating salaries are so far out of control it isn’t even funny. But the end is coming, and it WILL be ugly.

    • Alex K - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:06 PM

      Really, any time you want me off your lawn just ask.

    • Reflex - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:35 PM

      Suggestion: Stop reading baseball stories about player contracts. Seems if its disrupting your enjoyment of the game, stop reading about it and just enjoy the games. I don’t see this problem as anything but of your own making…

    • fanofevilempire - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:06 PM

      rick, stop watching baseball and try Cricket.

      • cktai - Jul 23, 2013 at 6:30 PM

        Hah, you obviously never heard of the Indian premier league if you think cricket had loyalty and lacks big contracts

    • lessick - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:20 PM

      Do you ever watch movies that star big name actors receiving hefty paychecks??

      • Reflex - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:35 PM

        I used to, but then I read some articles about the contracts the actors sign to perform in those movies and how much money they make and it kind of ruined it for me. Now I just watch school plays instead.

        Which is a bit odd since I have no children, but hey at least I know for a fact nobody up there is in it for the money, eh?

  7. lazlosother - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:05 PM

    Other considerations are:

    Pujols’ contract
    Josh Hamilton’s contract
    Texiera’s contract
    A-Rod’s contract
    Ryan Howard’s contract
    Jason Werth’s contract
    Carl Crawford’s contract
    Alfonso Soriano’s contract

    NY would live to retain Cano, but with the current roster, the lack of ML ready prospects, and the recent willingness of teams to lock up good players before free agency NY may think twice before they go too high or too long for Robbie. They may be rebuilding for a few years and it’s difficult to get good value for the huge contracts.

  8. rrealndfan - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:21 PM

    i wonder if he will be scarred by his contract??

    • unclemosesgreen - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:11 PM

      OK – Brandon Phillips upset you – we get it. Now please stop banging that drum.

      • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Jul 23, 2013 at 4:44 PM

        Is he intentionally misspelling scared or am I missing the joke? I’m really confused with all the stupidity running rampant around here.

      • natslady - Jul 23, 2013 at 6:35 PM

        @church, you are missing the joke. Ref to Brandon Phillips being miffed by Votto’s contract.

      • churchoftheperpetuallyoutraged - Jul 23, 2013 at 8:21 PM

        Ok thanks, spent too much time in that thread showing how BP wasn’t nearly as good as Votto to pick up on that meme.

  9. whatthehellisansky - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:21 PM

    lazlo Hit the nail on the head – After the Arod deal and the Tex deal and whats looking like a not-so-great deal with CC, the Yanks have to break the cycle of bloated contracts for too many years at some point.

    That being said – money is not and should not be any obstacle in this deal. The big thing is the length.

    The yankees have the balls to charge 4 or 5x what other teams charge for tickets even when theyre running chris stewart out behind the plate and luis cruz at 3b. They also have a tv network that makes hundreds upon hundreds of millions, year after year. Money should be no object to them.

    Sign Cano for 5 yrs 30m/yr 150m total or let him walk. How bad does he want to retire a home grown yankee and play in NY – the biggest market there is vs. his need for an albatross contract?

  10. jputignano - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:27 PM

    “What Alfonso Soriano Would Bring to the Struggling Yankees.” – Joseph Putignano

    http://wp.me/p2mgR4-11

  11. sandrafluke2012 - Jul 23, 2013 at 3:55 PM

    What other team can sign him? Dodgers and Yankees.

    Al CENTRAL- Detroit has Scherzer, Porcello, Fister, Jackson all coming up
    AL East- Baltimore maybe
    Al West-

  12. louhudson23 - Jul 24, 2013 at 3:42 AM

    Pedroia is the one who has shown he understands how to deal with all this. He is playing for exactly who he wants,exactly where he wants. All he has to do is play ball for the next 6 years and collect over a hundred million for having done so……no lawyers,no agents,no worries.If financial independence doesn’t make you independent,what is the point?

  13. pastabelly - Jul 24, 2013 at 8:43 AM

    The only ones who should be disappointed by the Pedroia deal are the union because of the lower salary per year and idiot know it all fans and media in Boston who claim Pedroia “swings too hard” and put out “too much effort” that will impact his longevity. I guess that’s a basis to give the real long deals to low effort guys like Josh Hamilton and Josh Beckett.

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