Skip to content

Historical precedent suggests Jack Morris will finally get into the Hall of Fame

Nov 30, 2013, 6:55 PM EDT

Jack Morris Blue Jays

Tangotiger looked at past Hall of Fame results and concluded that it seems likely, based on historical precedent, that Jack Morris will, at some point make it into Cooperstown whether by the Baseball Writers Association of America, or by the Veterans Committee. Morris first appeared on the ballot in 2000, receiving 22.2 percent of the vote. Since then, his share was 19.6, 20.6, 22.8, 26.3, 33.3, 41.2, 37.1, 42.9, 44.0, 52.3, 53.5, 66.7, and 67.7 last year.

Tango writes:

The player with the highest share of ballots to not (eventually) make the Hall of Fame was Gil Hodges, at 63% of votes at his peak. Jack Morris received 68% last year. He’d be the new leader. But he won’t be for long, because the Veteran’s Committee will vote him in eventually.

After Hodges (*), second place is Tony Oliva at 47%. Do you know what this means? It means it’s completely ridiculous to make a player need 75% of the votes. As soon as you hit 50, you will eventually make it. Why make the player wait and wait and wait? To be sure? Well, other than Gil Hodges, everyone made it in!

Morris finished his career with a 3.90 ERA in 3,824 innings over 18 seasons. If inducted, he would become the new leader in career ERA among Hall of Fame pitchers, exceeding Red Ruffin’s 3.80. Additionally, the average Hall of Famer compiled 69.0 Wins Above Replacement, according to Baseball Reference. Morris ended his career at 43.8, which would rank 53rd of 71 enshrined hurlers, putting him between Chief Bender and Lefty Gomez. The case for Morris, though, has rarely relied on stats. Rather, supporters have focused on how much hitters feared him and how he was considered the best pitcher of his era. However, he received Cy Young votes in seven of 18 seasons and never finished higher than third.

Latest Posts
  1. Angels fire the scout who recommended drafting Mike Trout

    Sep 16, 2014, 2:48 PM EDT

    Mike Trout Getty Getty Images

    Greg Morhardt served as a national cross-checker for the Angels and “pegged Trout as a future star while most teams shied away.”

  2. Giancarlo Stanton shares gruesome before-and-after pictures of his facial injuries

    Sep 16, 2014, 2:14 PM EDT

    giancarlo stanton getty Getty Images

    Five days after a fastball to the face sent him to the hospital with multiple facial fractures and dental damage Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton posted a before-and-after picture to show how much he’s improved.

  3. HBT Daily: The Angels clinch a playoff spot

    Sep 16, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT

    HBT Daily Logo

    But will they make some noise in October?

  4. Anthony Rizzo rejoined the Cubs with a walk-off homer

    Sep 16, 2014, 1:47 PM EDT

    Anthony Rizzo AP

    And a pretty great home run call by always underrated Cubs announcer Len Kasper (as long as you’re not a Reds fan).

  5. Major League Baseball announces nominees for the Clemente Award

    Sep 16, 2014, 1:30 PM EDT

    Clemente

    Carlos Beltran won last year. Who gets it this year?

  6. Rangers assistant GM Thad Levine withdraws from Diamondbacks’ GM search

    Sep 16, 2014, 1:15 PM EDT

    thad levine

    Levine has been the Rangers’ assistant GM since October of 2005, serving as general manager Jon Daniels’ right-hand man during the most successful period in team history.

  7. Matt Shoemaker to have an MRI on his rib cage

    Sep 16, 2014, 12:45 PM EDT

    Matt Shoemaker AP

    The Angels starter pitched well last night, but felt some discomfort at the end of his stint.

  8. Chris Davis helped out at the scene of a car crash

    Sep 16, 2014, 12:16 PM EDT

    chris davis getty Getty Images

    He has some time on his hands. At least he’s putting it to good use.

  9. The Braves break ground on “SunTrust Park”

    Sep 16, 2014, 11:40 AM EDT

    Braves ballpark

    Man, Waffle House. You really missed the boat here. And now we all have to suffer with this boring, corporate name.

  10. Martin Prado undergoes an emergency appendectomy, likely out for the year

    Sep 16, 2014, 11:25 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-09-16 at 11.12.05 AM AP

    One of the few dudes who has been hitting for the Yankees is now on the shelf for the year.

  11. David Ortiz: I told you so

    Sep 16, 2014, 11:03 AM EDT

    David Ortiz Getty Getty Images

    Big Papi took some time yesterday to remind his detractors that, yes, he did deserve that contract extension.

  12. Must-click Link: the challenges Major League Baseball faces in implementing a domestic violence policy

    Sep 16, 2014, 10:10 AM EDT

    Bud Selig AP

    Ken Rosenthal shows us that the task, however necessary, will not be easy.

  13. A-Rod unlikely to be charged in the Biogenesis case

    Sep 16, 2014, 9:46 AM EDT

    Alex Rodriguez Alex Rodriguez

    To baseball and baseball writers, A-Rod is still Whitey Bulger or Public Enemy Number One. To the cops, he’s just a kid who bought a bag of something.

  14. Marcus Stroman should be suspended for throwing at Caleb Joseph’s head

    Sep 16, 2014, 9:16 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-09-16 at 8.09.58 AM

    MLB acts swiftly when someone grabs their crotch. Let’s see how swiftly it acts when a guy goes headhunting.

  15. Jonathan Papelbon’s suspension could possibly save the Phillies $13 million

    Sep 16, 2014, 8:55 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-09-15 at 11.33.53 AM AP

    With this gesture, Jonathan Papelbon made triggering his 2016 option a tad tricker.

  16. Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp exchange words in the dugout

    Sep 16, 2014, 8:23 AM EDT

    Puig Kemp

    I have to imagine that spending seven-plus months in close quarters with Yasiel Puig can get on one’s nerves.

  17. And That Happened: Monday’s scores and highlights

    Sep 16, 2014, 6:52 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-09-16 at 6.50.57 AM AP

    The Angels clinch a playoff spot. The Nats and Orioles pull to within one game of clinching their divisions.

Featured video

Do the Angels have any weaknesses?
Top 10 MLB Player Searches
  1. G. Stanton (3663)
  2. A. Rizzo (2436)
  3. B. Belt (2418)
  4. R. Castillo (2154)
  5. J. Hamilton (2124)
  1. C. Young (2100)
  2. B. Gardner (2035)
  3. H. Ryu (1995)
  4. A. Pujols (1991)
  5. C. Davis (1829)