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GM says Reds aren’t trading Homer Bailey

Dec 11, 2013, 11:19 AM EDT

homer bailey getty Getty Images

Homer Bailey is one season from free agency and looking at a huge payday, leading to speculation that the Reds might shop him this offseason.

Yesterday general manager Walt Jocketty addressed those rumors–and specifically one regarding the Yankees calling him about Bailey–telling Mark Sheldon of

I told them we’re not trading him. We’re trying to sign him.

Bailey is a tricky case in terms of handing him a massive long-term contract, because while he obviously has dominant raw stuff and is still just 27 years old he also has just two seasons with an ERA under 4.00. Of course, they’re the most recent two seasons, during which time Bailey has logged 417 total innings with a 3.58 ERA, although his strikeout rate of 7.9 per nine innings is hardly elite and prior to 2012 he’d never thrown more than 132 innings in a season.

He’ll almost surely be asking for more than $100 million and perhaps a whole lot more, but Sheldon writes that “the Reds do not feel compelled to deal Bailey for players” because they could always get draft pick compensation for him departing as a free agent.

  1. contraryguy - Dec 11, 2013 at 11:29 AM

    Homer’s a former first-round pick, kind of a cradle-to-grave case with the Reds; with Johnny Cueto’s injuries, and Bronson Arroyo’s 2014 location uncertain, we’re probably talking about the Reds #2 pitcher here, and maybe they see him that way. It will take more than a few no-hitter bonuses to resign him though.

    • stoutfiles - Dec 11, 2013 at 1:39 PM

      For now, yes. If Cueto could ever stop injuring himself and if Cingrani pitches just a bit better, I would put Bailey as their 4th best pitcher.

  2. spudchukar - Dec 11, 2013 at 12:05 PM

    A 4.00 ERA in GAB, is probably about a 3.50 elsewhere. Perhaps his home/away splits would suggest otherwise, but pitching in that phone booth isn’t easy.

    • Kevin S. - Dec 11, 2013 at 12:11 PM

      His ERA’s a run worse at home for his career. HR/9 and HR/FB obviously higher, but K and BB rates also significantly higher at home. Just spitballing, but I wonder if he’s afraid to give up contact in the Great American Smallpark?

      • spudchukar - Dec 11, 2013 at 12:16 PM

        It certainly would follow and from by observations it is when he tries to be too fine that he runs into trouble.

  3. metalhead65 - Dec 11, 2013 at 12:11 PM

    they would not get anything of equal value in return so why do it? they have a kid in the minors in Stephenson who should be ready to take his spot when he leaves in 2015. if he is going to leave he will want to have his best season yet so why shouldn’t it be for the reds?

  4. uwsptke - Dec 11, 2013 at 1:52 PM

    Another “what could have been” blunders for Doug Melvin and Jack Z. when trying to draft pitchers in Milwaukee.

    “Should we take this Bailey kid from Texas?”

    “Nah, let’s draft a high school hockey player from Maine (Mark Rogers) and tinker with his mechanics so he doesn’t have arm problems, and then let’s all be real surprised when he has all sorts of arm issues when he’s used to throwing 3 months out of the year.”

    “Well Jack, you talked me into it again.”

  5. ejheim62 - Dec 11, 2013 at 1:59 PM

    just a random thought or two, who the heck, in this day and age, names their kid “Homer”?

    and isn’t that a really ironic name for a baseball pitcher to have, also?

    • joshfrancis50 - Dec 11, 2013 at 2:21 PM

      His name is David.

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