Dec 16, 2013, 6:49 AM EDT
For over 30 years a man named Bill Deane has been predicting the Hall of Fame vote. He has a nearly 80% success rate in getting the votes right, so that’s pretty good. Last year he successfully predicted that no one would get the requisite 75% from the BBWAA voters. The year before that he was correct in predicting that it would be the Barry Larkin show.
His prediction this year? Greg Maddux. No one else.
Hard to believe that neither Frank Thomas, Tom Glavine nor the close-but-not-quite-last-year pair of Craig Biggio and Jack Morris will make it, but I have learned to (a) pay close attention to Deane’s projections and; (b) to never be surprised at the lunacy of the BBWAA voting pool.
Go read Deane’s predictions and rationale over at Baseball:Past and Present. And bookmark it for a couple weeks from now when we hear how the voting actually goes down.
- And That Happened: Monday’s scores and highlights 10
- Adrian Beltre needs just five innings for the third cycle of his career 8
- Mets blow out Marlins, move past Nationals for first place in NL East 17
- Yordano Ventura calls Jose Bautista a “nobody” and accuses him of stealing signs 72
- And That Happened: Sunday’s scores and highlights 87
- The benches cleared in Toronto, too 79
- The Reds’ and Pirates’ benches cleared after Brandon Phillips was hit with a pitch 65
- Reminder: even though the trade deadline has passed, trades can still happen 13
- The benches cleared in Friday’s Giants-Rangers game (205)
- Blue Jays acquire David Price from the Tigers (113)
- Rangers land ace left-hander Cole Hamels from Phillies (106)
- Royals make another big move, get Ben Zobrist from A’s (95)
- Report: Rockies trade Troy Tulowitzki to Blue Jays for Jose Reyes and prospects (92)