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Baseball math with Rockies owner Dick Monfort

Mar 27, 2014, 11:33 AM EDT

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The Rockies owner says the team can win 90 games. How does he get there?

“A year ago, the fifth starter in our rotation won one or two games or something like that,” Monfort said. “You put Anderson into our rotation, and you take out that fifth starter. I know Anderson isn’t our fifth starter, but he allows you to replace the fifth guy who was the weakness in our rotation. Anderson can win 12, 14, 16 games if he’s healthy. You add 12 to our 74 victories from last year and that’s 86.”

The extra four wins come “if things go our way.”

QED.

  1. Professor Fate - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:36 AM

    Here’s a WAG (wild-ass guess): Monfort doesn’t do his own taxes.

  2. paperlions - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:48 AM

    Having never been in the Rockies clubhouse, I have no basis by which to refute his calculations.

  3. chacochicken - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:49 AM

    Ah, yes he inherited his father’s business. That math makes more sense now.

    • 18thstreet - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:52 AM

      Job creator.

  4. kyzslew77 - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:57 AM

    It’s dumb, but it’s not that dumb. The 5th starter spot really was a nuclear fallout zone for the Rockies last year. Chacin, de la Rosa and Chatwood (when healthy) were all good. Nicasio was not good, but at least he ate some innings on a staff that desperately needed it. Those four are all back in this year’s rotation. Meanwhile, last year the rest of the starts went to: Jeff Francis (12) ERA over 6; Jon Garland (12) ERA just under 6; Chad Bettis (8) ERA just under 6; Roy Oswalt (6) ERA right around that magic number 9; and Jeff Manship, Drew Pomeranz and Colin McHugh (4 each) with a combined ERA somewhere around 8.

    Those start numbers add up to 42 because Chatwood missed about 10 starts, and in some cases the ERAs include relief appearances. But the general point he’s making, while hugely overstated, is fair: the difference between Anderson and those guys HAS to be a bunch of wins. I’d guess somewhere around 5. That’s a nice little upgrade, given the cost to acquire him.

  5. JP - Mar 27, 2014 at 11:57 AM

    “…And then you round up – and there you have it, 90 wins! Also, have you seen our new party deck?”

    -Dicky Monfort

    • jcmeyer10 - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:07 PM

      Say what you want about his math, his stadium is a fantastic place to watch a ball game. Especially if you can nab a view of the Rockies during sunset.

  6. anxovies - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:02 PM

    As in Doug Adams’ spaceship, math doesn’t work the same way in the Rockies dugout.

    • DJ MC - Mar 27, 2014 at 3:22 PM

      Coincidently, 2^276709 is also the telephone number of the Colorado Rockies main ticket line.

  7. jjschiller - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:12 PM

    Oh give the guy a break, he’s talking like a fan. I wish the corporation that owned my favorite team talked a little more like beer-drinking homer fans.

  8. scottj27 - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:17 PM

    I’m confused. 74 + 12 = 86. What am I missing?

    • renaado - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:43 PM

      I think I probably got it know though…….

    • scottj27 - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:52 PM

      Nevermind. I am unintelligent.

    • renaado - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:01 PM

      I disagree. No your not.

    • clemente2 - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:23 PM

      Is this an Abott and Costello routine, guys?

      • renaado - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:33 PM

        If I only knew what that is Clemente2.

      • birdman6824 - Mar 28, 2014 at 11:56 AM
  9. coloradostupid - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:27 PM

    Please…someone buy this team before it gets any more embarrassing.

  10. renaado - Mar 27, 2014 at 12:36 PM

    If this was College Algebra of Baseball I’d probably get a 1.0 in the score system in this subject!

  11. supersnappy - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:05 PM

    Its Charlie Monfort’s job to create interest in his team and sell tickets. He’s allowed to be wildly optimistic in his public statements.

    • kevinbnyc - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:33 PM

      Be wildly optimistic. Just don’t attach numbers to your optimism so you don’t sound like a moron.

  12. tysonpunchinguterus - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:20 PM

    He’s a glass-half-full kind of guy. That helps balance out his brother, who is a glass-is-empty-how-abiout-a-refill kind of guy.

  13. clydeserra - Mar 27, 2014 at 1:33 PM

    Wait. Anderson is going to play 12 games? And win them all?

  14. elliotlc - Mar 27, 2014 at 9:21 PM

    Just look at the games pitch by their top 3 and compare to the 4th and 5th spots it was night and day plus the bullpen wasn’t good last year and looks to be much better this season which helps win total as well. They also added a bat at first that has a good chance to beat production from last season and center field should have better numbers as well as 3B so that might explain the missing 4 wins. Let’s all be pessimistic and judging that’s why we love sports. Right……

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