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Phillies’ future could hang on upcoming stretch

May 20, 2014, 11:45 AM EDT

A quarter of the way into the season, the Phillies have managed to tread water in the not-so-rugged National League East (see story). Now comes a pivotal stage in the team’s schedule.

The Phils play 20 games in the next 20 days, a sizable chunk of baseball that on top of the 41 games the team has already played, could give upper management the read it needs in determining whether to keep the club together and hope it can play through its flaws and earn a playoff berth or break it up through a series of trades that would signal a retooling effort.

The 20-game stretch will take the Phillies into an off day on June 9. By that time, the draft will be over — the Phils have the seventh overall pick, their highest since 2001 when they took Gavin Floyd fourth overall — and GM Ruben Amaro Jr., notably hands-on in preparing for this draft, can take a good long look at his club as he makes the call on how to proceed.

It’s very possible that Amaro gets to June 9 and decides he needs to push back his decision several weeks. Whether he’s added or subtracted in the past, Amaro has done much of his in-season work close to the July 31 trade deadline, so he has some time on his side.

If Amaro gets to that off day on June 9 and decides to wait things out a little, it will mean his club fared pretty well over the 20-game stretch it is about to begin.

Fresh from two of their best games of the season (a pair of wins over Cincinnati by a combined score of 20-4), the Phils make their first of three visits to Miami beginning Tuesday night.

After that, the Phils return to Citizens Bank Park for an 11-game homestand that will include three against the Dodgers, three against the Rockies and five against the NL East rival Mets. When the Mets leave, the Phils head to Washington for three and on to Cincinnati for three, taking them to the June 9 off day and a convenient time to Amaro to take inventory of his club.

The Phils have caught some breaks in their schedule this season. They missed Yu Darvish on opening day because the Texas ace was on the disabled list. They did not see two-time NL Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw in Los Angeles because he was on the DL. It didn’t hurt that the Reds were without sluggers Joey Votto and Jay Bruce during their trip to Philadelphia over the weekend.

The trip to Miami finds the Phils missing out on another star. Jose Fernandez, the Marlins’ 21-year-old pitching phenom, recently went down with an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery, a blow not only to the Miami ballclub but to all of baseball because it’s never good when a young, magnetic star, in any sport, goes down with an injury. Fernandez was rough on the Phillies last year, holding them to just one run and eight hits in 18 innings over three starts. The Phillies turned the tables and beat Fernandez earlier this season en route to a three-game sweep of the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.

If the Marlins’ pitching schedule had held up, Fernandez likely would have pitched against the Phillies and A.J. Burnett in Tuesday night’s series opener.

Instead, the Phils will face Anthony DeSclafani, a 24-year-old rookie right-hander who grew up about an hour from Philadelphia in Howell, N.J. DeSclafani, who took Fernandez’s spot in the rotation, beat the Dodgers with six innings of two-run ball in his big-league debut.

The Marlins are coming off a long, 11-game trip to the West Coast where they went 4-7.

They surely will be happy to get home, not just because they are tired of the road, but because they have been fabulous at home. The Marlins have the majors’ best home record at 17-5. They’re hitting .295 (the second-best home mark in the majors) with 21 homers in Marlins Park and their ERA there is 2.61.

The Phillies are 11-10 on the road, just 8-12 at home.

The Marlins’ offense is led by rightfielder Giancarlo Stanton, who leads the majors with 43 RBIs in 45 games. He is second in the NL in homers (12) and extra-base hits (25).

So this first leg of 20 important games in 20 days starts off with a challenge for the Phillies. Management is watching.

  1. gmkev - May 20, 2014 at 11:49 AM

    They’ll go 10-10 and continue to be mediocre. This team won’t seriously compete for a World Series until 2016 at the earliest.

  2. Old Gator - May 20, 2014 at 12:02 PM

    Just judging from the comments that Feelies fans have been making here for the past couple of years, I doubt if there’s anyone out there in beisbol who is the target of so many voodoo doll stickpins, black masses, goat sacrifices and razor-tipped prayers as Ruben Amaro Jr. Given that the team isn’t going anywhere anyway, I get the sense that those fans would just as soon see the team’s wheels come orf altogether if Amaro could be consumed in the ensuing crash and rollover.

    And by the way, for what it’s worth, though Chris Fiorentino and I had our share of knocked heads, I really miss the big lug. Maybe it would take the immolation of Ruben to resurrect him here, the way it took an H-bomb test to bring up Godzilla.

    • El Bravo - May 20, 2014 at 1:18 PM

      I agree about Fiorentino, OG. He added a nice flavor to these boards. That is why I just got my “Fiorentino 4 Life” tattoo on my arm.

  3. rpiddy - May 20, 2014 at 12:35 PM

    mets still suck

  4. fissels - May 20, 2014 at 12:39 PM

    The Phils gotta get some production from Brown & Mayberry or they’re not going anywhere

    • zengreaser - May 20, 2014 at 1:37 PM

      I hear ya on Brown, but Mayberry isn’t even an everyday player so I can’t for the life of me see how the season hinges on anything he does or doesn’t do. If they are going to contend, the biggest need is to solidify the bullpen. As for offense, cross your fingers that Asche can maintain his present course, hope Brown can start resembling something like the guy he was last May, and light every prayer candle in the Delaware Valley that Ben Revere can stop slapping balls right to the second baseman or shortstop and start getting his OBP back to a respectable number.

      • fissels - May 20, 2014 at 3:32 PM

        well said

      • deepstblu - May 20, 2014 at 4:36 PM

        Offensive outbursts on Friday and Saturday. No Revere in either lineup. Coincidence, I’m sure.

  5. gothapotamus90210 - May 20, 2014 at 1:39 PM

    He looks so Roger Dorn-esque in that clip.

  6. nolanwiffle - May 20, 2014 at 1:49 PM

    So you’re saying this club’s future is murky, at best. We’ve known that for some time now.

    • chadjones27 - May 20, 2014 at 2:14 PM

      This artlicle isn’t about the murky future of the club. It’s about what the club is going to do if it’s near-future (20 games) is murky. We all knew the club was a long shot to contend, but since the rest of the NL East is sucking the Phillies have a couple big decisions to make. Come June 9, RAJ gets to do his best Joe Strummer, “should he stay or should he go?”

      I know, that was a terrible Joe Strummer reference.

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