Skip to content

Clay Buchholz and the Red Sox insist he’s healthy despite ERA rising from 1.74 to 6.20

Aug 7, 2014, 2:14 PM EST

World Series - Boston Red Sox v St Louis Cardinals - Game Four Getty Images

Clay Buchholz has been so bad this season, going 5-7 with a 6.20 ERA after going 12-1 with a 1.74 ERA last year, that the 29-year-old right-hander and Red Sox manager John Farrell are both being asked if he’s healthy or pitching through an injury.

Buchholz previously insisted that he’s healthy and here’s what Farrell told Ian Browne of MLB.com yesterday:

There’s nothing physical here. And by his own admission and [his] answers to that question repetitively, and every test that we do following a start, leading into a start, all those objective measures are fine.

If he’s not hurt, then what explains Buchholz’s terrible performance, especially on the heels on last season’s excellence?

Last season Buchholz allowed 75 hits and 23 runs in 108 innings.

This season Buchholz has allowed 126 hits and 75 runs in 102 innings.

Well, first of all last season’s dominance was a fluke, if only in that most pitchers posting a 1.74 ERA is at least somewhat a fluke and his secondary numbers were nowhere near that strong. And based on those same secondary numbers–strikeouts, walks, ground-ball rate–Buchholz has pitched more like a 4.50 ERA guy than a 6.20 ERA guy this year.

His career Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) is 4.13 and his xFIP this year is 4.43. If you trust those numbers then last season was a massive fluke and this season is merely a mediocre, 4.50 ERA-caliber pitcher who’s also been terribly unlucky on balls in play.

Latest Posts
  1. Brandon Beachy won’t sign until closer to spring training

    Jan 29, 2015, 9:21 PM EST

    brandon beachy getty Getty Images

    Beachy is currently 10 months removed from the second Tommy John surgery of his career.

  2. Neal Cotts has agreed to a one-year deal with the Brewers

    Jan 29, 2015, 8:02 PM EST

    Neal Cotts AP AP

    Cotts compiled a 2.84 ERA in 131 appearances with the Rangers over the past two seasons.

  3. Phillies sign Chad Billingsley

    Jan 29, 2015, 7:04 PM EST

    Chad Billingsley Getty Images

    Billingsley hasn’t pitched in the majors since undergoing Tommy John surgery in April of 2013.

  4. Braves sign Eric Stults

    Jan 29, 2015, 6:45 PM EST

    Eric Stults Getty Getty Images

    Add another name to the list of fifth starter candidates for the Braves.

  5. Daniel Nava avoids arbitration with the Red Sox

    Jan 29, 2015, 5:42 PM EST

    ALCS - Detroit Tigers v Boston Red Sox - Game One Getty Images

    Nava requested $2.25 million and the Red Sox countered at $1.3 million.

  6. Ramon Santiago signs with the Blue Jays

    Jan 29, 2015, 3:15 PM EST

    Ramon Santiago AP

    Santiago spent last season with the Reds, hitting .246 with a .667 OPS in 75 games.

  7. Blue Jays sign Ronald Belisario

    Jan 29, 2015, 2:31 PM EST

    Ronald Belisario AP

    Belisario was awful for the White Sox last season, allowing 46 runs in 66 innings.

  8. Pete Carroll and Scott Boras are best buddies? Who knew?

    Jan 29, 2015, 1:00 PM EST

    Boras sulking AP

    Does this man look like he’d be a friend of a guy like Pete Carroll? Welp, he is.

  9. Omar Minaya is joining the MLB Players Association

    Jan 29, 2015, 12:45 PM EST

    Omar Minaya AP

    He’ll work with union chief Tony Clark.

  10. Jayson Werth to serve five days in jail for reckless driving

    Jan 29, 2015, 12:30 PM EST

    Jayson Werth AP

    We can, from now and forever, refer to Werth as the “The Nationals’ ex-con right fielder.”

  11. The 12th greatest GM of all time is the real “Moneyball” innovator, not Billy Beane

    Jan 29, 2015, 11:30 AM EST

    Sandy Alderson AP

    Brad Pitt was too young to portray him, though. Maybe Kevin Kline could’ve?

  12. Keith Law’s top 100 prospects list is out

    Jan 29, 2015, 10:39 AM EST

    Kris Bryant AP AP

    Kris Bryant of the Cubs tops the list.

  13. Blue Jays are on the hunt for veteran relievers

    Jan 29, 2015, 10:15 AM EST

    Francisco Rodriguez AP AP

    Francisco Rodriguez? Rafael Soriano?

  14. Rosenthal proposal: make relievers face more than one batter per appearance

    Jan 29, 2015, 10:01 AM EST

    Mike Pelfrey

    He’s gonna get big pushback from the LOOGY union, but is the idea a good one?

  15. Must baseball “change or die?”

    Jan 29, 2015, 9:09 AM EST

    dodgers shift

    Baseball should never fear innovation. But not all new rules are, by definition, innovation.

  16. Giants release Marco Scutaro

    Jan 28, 2015, 10:21 PM EST

    scutaro getty Getty Images

    Scutaro appeared in just five games last season for the World Series champions due to a back injury that has continued to bother him this offseason.

Top 10 MLB Player Searches
  1. J. Papelbon (6573)
  2. J. Shields (4339)
  3. I. Suzuki (4096)
  4. Y. Moncada (3678)
  5. R. Vogelsong (3624)
  1. F. Rodriguez (3379)
  2. J. Gomes (3050)
  3. J. Hoffman (2751)
  4. D. Fowler (2700)
  5. D. Mesoraco (2661)